Euro=S Fla, New Orleans

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Anonymous

Euro=S Fla, New Orleans

#1 Postby Anonymous » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:28 am

Here is the link to the 00z Euro loop
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 00!!!step/
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#2 Postby mobilebay » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:31 am

WOW!!!!! :eek: However, the NHC does not put much wait in this model. I don,t think its that for off.
0 likes   
Top
Matthew5

#3 Postby Matthew5 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:34 am

The Ecmwf has been set for over 9 runs. While the Gfs is flying all over the place :roll:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#4 Postby mobilebay » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:36 am

Matthew5 wrote:The Ecmwf has been set for over 9 runs. While the Gfs is flying all over the place :roll:

It has done well thus far. IT missed badly with Charley though.
0 likes   
Top
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

#5 Postby ericinmia » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:41 am

Yeah but it nailed Floyd. Which was a semi-similar situation.

This has me worried... it has been on the money now for TOO many runs in a row...

In the never dying spirit of the hard working Dunkin' Donut guy from the 90's comercials... its time to put up the shutters... its time to get final supplies... time to make the coffee... i mean... hahaa

lol
-Eric
0 likes   
Top
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

#6 Postby ericinmia » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:43 am

wow that is very much Andrew like!!!!!!!!!!! Yikes... :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#7 Postby mobilebay » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:44 am

Eric. I really think Miami is going to get this cane. I have been saying it for days. Please take all the needed precautions. In my opinion the only thing up in the air is where it goes after hitting Miami.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#8 Postby southerngale » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:52 am

ECMWF also nailed Isabel last year several days out. Maybe someone else remembers how many days it was.
0 likes   
Please support Storm2k by making a donation today. It is greatly appreciated! Click here: Image

Image my Cowboys Image my RocketsImage my Astros
Top
User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5444
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#9 Postby Nimbus » Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:31 am

This forecast depends on a very strong ridge to steer Frances WNW near the end of the track. The trough over Louisiana continue to push east leaving dry air behind it in northern Louisiana. If the trough lifts out and the ridge over florida builds back west by thursday the Euro track would be possible. We will have a better idea of which orientation of the ridge verifies tomorrow.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#10 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:12 am

There goes the neighborhood.
0 likes   
Top
Derecho
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1011
Joined: Sat Mar 15, 2003 3:15 pm

#11 Postby Derecho » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:15 am

mobilebay wrote:WOW!!!!! :eek: However, the NHC does not put much wait in this model. I don,t think its that for off.



For all of the whining, it is interesting to note that of the global models, the 5AM NHC track is right now closest to the....ECMWF and Canadian models.

The NHC track is much closer to the ECMWF than the GFS.

(The 06 NOGAPS has moved to a South Carolina landfall.)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 73 guests