Dr. Steve Lyons

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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Dr. Steve Lyons

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:58 pm

He said to expect a more northern track to the cone very soon. He also said it could straddle the fla/ga/sc coast before landfall in nc.....i guess that covers it!
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#2 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:01 pm

Where did you hear this???
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#3 Postby FloridaDiver » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:02 pm

What models is he looking at, maybe he can share them with the NHC?
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#4 Postby snowflake » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:03 pm

I was waiting for the tropical update and I missed it. I hope I do not forget watch it at 4:50.
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#5 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:05 pm

Um.. what the heck is he on...
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#6 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:06 pm

CLTRDU wrote:Where did you hear this???


At 4:50 on TWC
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#7 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:06 pm

CLTRDU wrote:Where did you hear this???


At 4:50 on TWC
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#8 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:07 pm

Steve is dead on. This is a Carolinas Hurricane. watch for that turn within the next 24 hours.
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#9 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:07 pm

I don't buy that straight poleward motion or whatever he said.. I personally sometimes think he's a real idiot.. But that's another story
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:07 pm

I don't buy that straight poleward motion or whatever he said.. I personally sometimes think he's a real idiot.. But that's another story
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das8929

#11 Postby das8929 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:11 pm

I dont buy that either. He is just going exactly by the NHC model. How the heck is it gonna turn north that fast?
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#12 Postby N2Storms » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:12 pm

On station here in the Panhandle said that he had talked with Stacy Stewart at the NHC last night and he said that Stewart felt very confident that the High Pressure Ridge would be re-inforced from the Great Lakes area (I believe) and that the Ridge would dig in and keep Francis on a more w to wnw track. The track that they depicted was very, very similar to the one that has been advertised by the Euro for the last 9 or 10 runs. Now I realize that this was last night, but from what I've seen and heard today, the Ridge is not only holding it's own, but is now building into the GOM. I'll be very interested in hearing what our Met has to say this evening. While I really don't see this as being a Panhandle event at all, but unless it drastically slows down the Central to South Coasts of Fla are in for some very unpleasant times ahead.
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#13 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:12 pm

The latest NHC chart shows a landfall further S again - that did not surprise me I have to say. Northward motion, no way.
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#14 Postby krisj » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:14 pm

hurricane_lover, you crack me up! Although my neighbor agrees with you. She keeps telling me, "They always turn, just wait and see."
I don't know, I am no expert for sure, but I just can't see it coming this way.
I do keep tracking where it was compared to FLoyd and Hugo, but I know that that doesn't really mean alot. I think.
I really can't get used to these models going up and down the coast. At 2pm I think maybe, at 5pm no, we are out of the woods, then the next day a repeat.
I'm still going with Fl though.
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#15 Postby ilmc172pilot » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:16 pm

I agree...a NC landfall, ......maybe I'll head west
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#16 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:17 pm

Carolina's event.
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#17 Postby marc21688 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:19 pm

Honestly, I can't see why he would say that for most of the computer models are now pointing towards Florida, but he is usually right when it comes to forecasting hurricanes. As time goes on however, I do believe that the jet stream, which is dipping way down to the south in the near future, will force Frances to made a NW turn, even a N turn, but that remains to be seen.
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#18 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:38 pm

Even with a hurricane this dangerous -removed- seems to be @ a all time high.
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#19 Postby tropicsgal » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:38 pm

I'm listening to meterologist on WJHG channel 7 in Panama City, he is very good and gives details in depth. My thoughts are with everyone in the path of powerful hurricane Frances. Hope we here on the Gulf Coast don't have to deal with this huge storm.
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#20 Postby blizzard20 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:42 pm

This storm will move more Northwest don't go by the models . They are not handle the weather pattern that why they changing every run.
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