When in the Gulf gonna get active??

Yankeegirl · #1 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 7:52 am

I am just wondering why the Gulf has been so quiet this year? Is it EVER going to get busy???

#2 Postby **Steve Cosby** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:16 am

YankeeGirl wrote:I am just wondering why the Gulf has been so quiet this year? Is it EVER going to get busy???

With the water profile, when something does kick off, it will be a monster.

https://www.navo.navy.mil/cgi-bin/graphic.pl/metoc/40/19/0-0-5/0

For that matter, check out the west coast of Florida.

HouTXmetro · #3 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:18 am

Hmm..... You might have to rephrase this question. The Big question is if the Western Gulf/ NW Gulf will see a storm. There is no doubt that a storm will affect the Eastern/ NE Gulf.

inotherwords · #4 Postby **inotherwords** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:18 am

I guess you're forgetting about Charley already?

HouTXmetro · #5 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:20 am

Steve Cosby wrote:
YankeeGirl wrote:I am just wondering why the Gulf has been so quiet this year? Is it EVER going to get busy???

With the water profile, when something does kick off, it will be a monster.

https://www.navo.navy.mil/cgi-bin/graphic.pl/metoc/40/19/0-0-5/0

For that matter, check out the west coast of Florida.

Bonnie is a prime example that warm SST's are not nearly enough to create a monster system.

donsutherland1 · #6 Postby **donsutherland1** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:21 am

YankeeGirl,

With the global indices as they are this year (ENSO, regional anomalies, QBO, etc.), there has typically been some Gulf activity after September 1.

Moreover, in years that meet the following profile that is similar to 2004, there have also been 3 or more Gulf of Mexico storms after August 31:

• Development of 4 or more named storms in August
• Development of 3 or more hurricanes in August
• U.S. landfall of at least one major hurricane
• First named storm developed July 25 or later

Needless to say, not all of these Gulf of Mexico storms from years meeting the above profile were hurricanes and more than half actually impacted Mexico rather than the United States.

#7 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:21 am

inotherwords wrote:I guess you're forgetting about Charley already?

You probably can add Frances to that list.

#8 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:22 am

Charley wasnt a Gulf of Mexico storm, was it? Didnt it originate in the Atlantic or Caribbean?

HouTXmetro · #9 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 8:32 am

alicia-w wrote:Charley wasnt a Gulf of Mexico storm, was it? Didnt it originate in the Atlantic or Caribbean?

That is true, but it entered the Gulf. Therefore it is a Gulf Storm.

Yankeegirl · #10 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:18 am

I would just like some more action in my neck of the woods to be watching... lol... Thanks everyone for the comments!

southerngale · #11 Postby **southerngale** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:26 am

YankeeGirl wrote:I would just like some more action in my neck of the woods to be watching... lol... Thanks everyone for the comments!

Go look at Charley pics. You might change your mind for now. :eek:

inotherwords · #12 Postby **inotherwords** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:36 am

would just like some more action in my neck of the woods to be watching... lol...

Yeah, lol my foot. Come on over here and take a look at the destruction and mess people are in and how frightened people are about Frances. This isn't entertaining. Go rent "The Perfect Storm" or something if you're bored.

#13 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:42 am

Maybe so?

TexasStooge · #14 Postby **TexasStooge** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:44 am

I'll say "Yes".

When in the Gulf gonna get active??

Will we have a Gulf storm this Sept?

When in the Gulf gonna get active??

Re: When in the Gulf gonna get active??

Re: When in the Gulf gonna get active??

Re: When in the Gulf gonna get active??

You probably...

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