The next few hours will be very critical to see where powerful hurricane Frances will make landfall.
Right now Frances is holding it's own as it is going thru another eyewall replacement.Still the outflow looks fair to excellent in al quadrants and the structure continues to be great so there is no reason that Frances will make landfall as a major hurricane.It is possible that Frances gets briefly to cat 5 status as it will be moving thru 85F+ waters.
About the track it is moving westnorthwest and that track should continue with a slower motion later in the period.Still there is some uncertainty about where it will make landfall and many of the models are not in consensus but the best track for now is the east coast landfall near West Palm Beach but nothing can be said now about exactly it will go.
Elsewhere in the atlantic:
A strong tropical wave located SSE of the Cape Verde islands is well organized at this time and a tropical depression may form in the next 24-48 hours as it moves west around 15 mph.
This product is not official.The official source is the National Hurricane Center.
Forecaster=Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)
1:45 PM EDT Storm2k Tropical update,Sept 1
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
1:45 PM EDT Storm2k Tropical update,Sept 1
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Sep 01, 2004 4:48 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Chuck Waters
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 36
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:59 am
When you made this statement...
Did you actually mean, "There is every reason to Frances will make landfall as a major hurricane"? Am I just reading this wrong. Because it sounds like you're saying it WON'T be a major hurricane.
Right now Frances is holding it's own as it is going thru another eyewall replacement.Still the outflow looks fair to excellent in al quadrants and the structure continues to be great so there is no reason that Frances will make landfall as a major hurricane.It is possible that Frances gets briefly to cat 5 status as it will be moving thru 85F+ waters.
Did you actually mean, "There is every reason to Frances will make landfall as a major hurricane"? Am I just reading this wrong. Because it sounds like you're saying it WON'T be a major hurricane.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
No what I meant was that all indications are that Frances will be a major cane at landfall maybe I didn't type good that sentence.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Team Ghost and 165 guests