11:30 Tropical weather outlook=Ivan very soon?

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cycloneye
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11:30 Tropical weather outlook=Ivan very soon?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:27 am

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD.

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This wave looks well organized right now and at a low latidud so I think it will be the next player down the road.
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#2 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:30 am

While looking at the GFS last night, there appeared to be 2 trop. systems headed this way, the first recurves back out to sea, and the other was basically where Frances was in 360 hours.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:37 am

Yes the models haved been jumping on something in past days and maybe this is it.
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#4 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:38 am

Geez... :eek:
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#5 Postby btsgmdad » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:41 am

We don't want or need to see anything following Frances' path. :(
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#6 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:56 am

Looking better organized by the hour...............

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Don't be surprised to see an Invest pop up for this feature sometime today...
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#7 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:57 am

Isn't there one already?

01/1145 UTC 18.9N 34.3W T1.0/1.5 97 -- Atlantic Ocean
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#8 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:58 am

yoda wrote:Isn't there one already?

01/1145 UTC 18.9N 34.3W T1.0/1.5 97 -- Atlantic Ocean


That's the wave that is rather unimpressive NW of the Cape Verde Islands.
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#9 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:59 am

No, we're talking about the one right off the coast of Africa. That one is for the feature just west of the Cape Verde Islands that has just encountered hostile conditions...
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:59 am

Agree Hyperstorm an invest will go up later today and even more a TD classification may come as early as tommorow morning if this organization continues.
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#11 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:00 am

cycloneye wrote:Agree Hyperstorm an invest will go up later today and even more a TD classification may come as early as tommorow morning if this organization continues.


You're right. Maybe even as early as the 11pm update if current trends continue. It's a powerful little system...
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#12 Postby msbee » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:01 am

tis the season
it ain't over yet! :-)
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:02 am

msbee wrote:tis the season
it ain't over yet! :-)


Barbara now the heart of the cape verde season is upon us little rest from Frances now the vigil begins again . :eek:
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#14 Postby clueless newbie » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:06 am

Well, you can still see the two systems, nicely connected.
The upper one was the Ivan hopeful that looked good a day or so before, but now seems to be dormant. The lower one might develop pretty soon.

They seem to be pretty close, would have nicely interacted for sure. It can still happen, though. It would be amazing to see the left top component being swung to SW and the bottom one to N, contrary to what each would do on its own.
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#15 Postby Hyperstorm » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:59 pm

This thing is organizing rather quickly. Ivan is very near us...
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Josephine96

#16 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:00 pm

Well.. that crosses 1 more name off the list lol
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