Francis = Floyd II

[hurricane_lover]

Francis reminds me so much of Floyd it is scary.

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/99/floyd/f ... 4_2029.gif

Just like floyd everyone is saying this is a Florida event. She will turn north and head up the coast, just like Floyd.

Thoughts?

[feederband]

nope fl storm this time

[Brent]

Florida. Not the Carolinas.

[PurdueWx80]

The only thing I'm worried about is Frances pulling a Floyd, but 100 miles further west, on top of or near the entire EC of FL.

[Huckster]

Everyone wasn't saying Floyd was going to be a Florida event. This is not going to be another Floyd. Much farther south and west than Floyd. No trough to scoop it up either. Also, despite the psychotic attempts by some models to smash this thing through the ridge, there's no indication of that happening. The general consensus is toward Florida and Frances seems to be following commands fairly well. It's funny how every time it wobbles, seems like there's a new post about it. What the heck, looks like it's wobbled more west now. I think this is looking like it could do something like the 1928 storm.

[jlauderdal]

Francis reminds me so much of Floyd it is scary.

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/99/floyd/f ... 4_2029.gif

Just like floyd everyone is saying this is a Florida event. She will turn north and head up the coast, just like Floyd.

Thoughts?

not even close. floyd was supposed to make a hard right ahead of the southward driving trough and did exactly that. no hard rights and maybe not much of a right. 2 completely different scenarios except for intensity

[Downdraft]

First off, anyone with the slightest knowledge of what was going on knew that Floyd would turn prior to Florida. Floyd was bigger than Frances but not by that much. There is no trough to turn Frances as there was Floyd. If your -removed- Frances to the Carolinas your dreaming. This is a Florida storm the only question is where, when and for how long. There is NOTHING that will turn this storm north fast enough to make this anything but a Florida storm. Listen to the pro's.

[dhweather]

Floyd was Floyd, and Frances is Frances. They may be similar (that is cyclones), but they each have significant differences.

[hurricane_lover]

Keep thinking that, boss.

[Wannabewxman79]

Chill, you guys, we are all observering it and just waiting.....everyone is doing their best........right now a lot of the models have shifted pretty far to the N and E but you never know if it is a screw up or not

[TLHR]

I give up....

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

This is the second time in 24 hours that the GDFL says Charleston....

[hurricane_lover]

I keep trying to tell you guys. I know these things.