Well, 0z ETA says sorry S FLA, but I missed ya...

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yoda
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Well, 0z ETA says sorry S FLA, but I missed ya...

#1 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:59 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _060.shtml

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _066.shtml
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#2 Postby jaysonx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:00 pm

Yea but ETA = JUNK

I have been burned by it too many times, lol. Live by the models, die by the models.
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#3 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:02 pm

I know the ETA sucks as a tropical model, but I am just showing you guys.
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#4 Postby jaysonx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:03 pm

Yea it is worth a look at, but many people at this place will look at it and go PHEW WE ARE SAFE!!! lol.
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#5 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:04 pm

yoda wrote:I know the ETA sucks as a tropical model, but I am just showing you guys.


Yoda, end game. The system now looks certain to hit Florida.
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#6 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:06 pm

When we are still 48-72 hrs from landfall? No way!
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#7 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:06 pm

The new models have been put up on this site and samething 4 up and 3 down.

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:07 pm

caneman wrote:
yoda wrote:I know the ETA sucks as a tropical model, but I am just showing you guys.


Yoda, end game. The system now looks certain to hit Florida.

The Eta has been all over the map today. First it was cntral Florida, Then Miami, and now it looks Like N. Florida.
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#9 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:08 pm

yoda wrote:When we are still 48-72 hrs from landfall? No way!


Might be less than 48 hours. Perhaps only 42. Possibly late Friday afternoon if the speed keeps up and it indeed hits W. Palm Beach.
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#10 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:10 pm

I remember earlier some people were putting all their faith in the ETA and how it said Florida. Things change when the models change don't they?
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#11 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:10 pm

Does Eta have the new data mentioned in the 10pm discussion?????
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#12 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:11 pm

I don't think so Fritz Paul... anyone else know?
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#13 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:17 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif

JUST off the EC of FLA....
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#14 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:18 pm

I believe Air Force Met mentioned that the new data would be blended with the earlier crap data in the 0z run. The real models to watch will be the 6z. Also, coincidentally, Stewart mentioned that the projected path may be nudged left tomorrow morning.
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#15 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:21 pm

Wait until the models initialize the new data that was mentioned in the discussion & it will be a whole new world.
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#16 Postby Javlin » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:38 am

Let's see the NHC puts out hurricane watches thats 36hrs in advance of the system.You do a little math the closest point is South Carolina NOT.She hits way S in FL I am thinking the tip.The stong ridge keeps her at good clip in speed that is suppose to last maybe another 48hrs.By then she is in the GOM.
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