Closest projected approach of the eye to Miami

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ColinD
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Closest projected approach of the eye to Miami

#1 Postby ColinD » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:02 am

http://stormcarib.com/closest1.htm

72.0 miles. Chilling.
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Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:04 am

with the wind being offshore, there is a chance that Mia will not even see sustained TS winds, if that or our forecast verifies as the frictional effects will serve to weaken the winds
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ColinD
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#3 Postby ColinD » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:37 am

Derek Ortt wrote:with the wind being offshore, there is a chance that Mia will not even see sustained TS winds, if that or our forecast verifies as the frictional effects will serve to weaken the winds


Looking at the forecast advisory ...

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.6N 78.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

How much does one expect the windfield to shrink over land? I'm 2 miles inland.
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jlauderdal
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Re: Closest projected approach of the eye to Miami

#4 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:50 am

ColinD wrote:http://stormcarib.com/closest1.htm

72.0 miles. Chilling.


and closing. trend towards miami and the current heading brings into se fl.
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Brent
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#5 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:09 am

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:11 am

there is a significant reduction, especially to the left as the winds have to come all the way around and over the land, due to friction.

Remember in 1998 how TS winds from Bonnie were expected to arrive at midnight, yet they didnt until 8 A.M.
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