12:00 Models for Frances=More clustered now

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cycloneye
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12:00 Models for Frances=More clustered now

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:24 am

HURRICANE FRANCES (AL062004) ON 20040902 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040902 1200 040903 0000 040903 1200 040904 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.2N 73.5W 24.2N 74.9W 25.1N 76.2W 25.8N 77.4W
BAMM 23.2N 73.5W 24.2N 75.2W 25.0N 76.7W 25.7N 78.0W
A98E 23.2N 73.5W 24.2N 75.5W 25.3N 77.2W 26.3N 78.8W
LBAR 23.2N 73.5W 24.2N 75.4W 25.2N 77.2W 26.2N 78.8W
SHIP 125KTS 121KTS 119KTS 118KTS
DSHP 125KTS 121KTS 119KTS 118KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040904 1200 040905 1200 040906 1200 040907 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.2N 78.4W 27.1N 80.1W 29.4N 82.1W 33.2N 83.8W
BAMM 26.0N 79.1W 26.3N 80.8W 28.4N 81.9W 32.4N 83.2W
A98E 26.7N 80.5W 27.8N 83.7W 27.6N 84.7W 25.1N 83.9W
LBAR 27.0N 80.4W 28.4N 83.0W 30.6N 85.0W 33.8N 84.7W
SHIP 115KTS 109KTS 101KTS 86KTS
DSHP 97KTS 34KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.2N LONCUR = 73.5W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 22.3N LONM12 = 71.4W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 21.4N LONM24 = 69.1W
WNDCUR = 125KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 120KT
CENPRS = 939MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 160NM RD34SE = 130NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 120NM
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby ColinD » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:26 am

Spread of those models fairly clustered now.
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#3 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:27 am

Yep, all between Melbourne and Miami now.

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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:41 am

Oh great. All of those models show a South or Central Florida landfall. I guess this is really going to be it. All we can do now is finish up our preparations and hope and pray for the best.

<RICKY>
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#5 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:01 am

Personally Im just happy to see model consensus...
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#6 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:02 am

HOLY CRAP!!!!!111

THE A98E IS IN THE CLUSTER!!!!

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#7 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:04 am

Prayers to all the Floridians
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#8 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:04 am

But what is up with that about face the A98E does????
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#9 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:05 am

Thanks
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#10 Postby clueless newbie » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:05 am

Jevo wrote:HOLY CRAP!!!!!111

THE A98E IS IN THE CLUSTER!!!!

:eek: :eek: :eek:

It still wants to visit Fidel, though. :)
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#11 Postby snoopj » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:09 am

Nuts, I was hoping for that turn to Nicaragua and that we'd all be left scratching our heads. That would made my day (not it striking anything, just to see something completely illogical like that turn SW to make everyone remember that nature is greater than us).

--snoopj
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