WOBBLES..............

[bobbisboy]

Although FRANCES will go in on a WNW track, each one of these wobbles north will be huge down the road as to ultimate landfall. This last one is especially pronunced since the official track bisects the Bahamas soon. NHC is doing a superb job so far but these jogs north must make them go nuts. Good luck down there esp. in WPB area.

[rbaker]

i agree because of geography of coastline could make a difference of 50-100 miles of landfall, thats why the warnings extend so far.

[B-Bear]

Just remember, not all of what appear to be wobbles are really wobbles. Looking at the latest water vapor satelite images, I can see something that a lot of people might perceive to be a wobble. But it's not. What you are seeing a "wobble" of to the northern side of the eye is the clear area inside the eye. But look at the entire circular pattern around the eye. It does not wobble whatsoever, but continues in a WNW motion.

[Portastorm]

All true ... Frances in the last 3 hrs seems to be moving a bit more northwest ... but if you look at her behavior over the last few days, the NW "jogs" seem to coincide with eyewall replacement cycles.

Overall the movement is still W-NW.