Those of us "in the know" will enjoy this late breaking forecast bulletin posted in a like-site, and I am just amazed at the forecasting prowess this individual possesses...
Folks, Frances has started its recurvature and the forward speed has been reduced to around 9-10 mph.This has huge implications on the final landfall and time and intensity.Currently, the ridge to the north is now starting to decay resulting in a weakness that Frances is now moving into.If you look at the latest sat vapor loop you can plainly see a true nw track that should take Florida out of jeapardy of a major hit.The plot thickens, because the upper steering flow will remain very weak as Frances nears the SE Coast.A stall is very possible but more likely Frances will move right along the Florida east coast and make landfall near GA/SC coast late on Saturday.I do want to caution residents further up teh coast that any deviation from this nw track to a more nnw track would put NC coast in dire straits.Frances will then take a classic east coast track up over the mid atlantic and eventually over SNE on late Tuesday.
It is this kind of BS that makes me happy this board is chock full of pros like MW, Derek, Cyclone, etc who actually put brainpower and manpower into their work, especially in the serious mode we are in.
As for the above 4-cast and, ahem, forecaster, uhhhh....your boat is just leaving for Nassau, one way ticket for ya! enjoy the ride...
Where's my whipping stick..........
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dennis1x1
Wow. Yeah, I'm like the most ultra scared-of-canes person in the universe. And I live in Charleston, SC. I believe anything is possible and I'm still prepped for Frances - just in case (landfall or nasty remnants moving North).
But this guy seems way, way out on a limb at this point. At least, I very much hope so and think so. (Though I really wish it would just suddenly go away all together, Florida doesn't need it either and they've had quite enough already!)
However, it is a free country I guess, and free speech is a right - but this guy needs to write "in my very humble opinion" with his post. We don't need people scaring folks one way and another all the d@mn time like that coming across like he is some uber professional met.
But this guy seems way, way out on a limb at this point. At least, I very much hope so and think so. (Though I really wish it would just suddenly go away all together, Florida doesn't need it either and they've had quite enough already!)
However, it is a free country I guess, and free speech is a right - but this guy needs to write "in my very humble opinion" with his post. We don't need people scaring folks one way and another all the d@mn time like that coming across like he is some uber professional met.
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TPACane04
I took time to post this to show that regardless of "where" one gets their tropical forecast fix, this kind of thing is misleading and downright wrong!
Now you know and I know the origin of the above, but Jane or John Doe who is trying to get a handle on this storm could take that info totally out of context and do who knows what...
I am just disappointed that this type of mis-info and BS is put out there, regardless of format...again, I give props to this forum for being a true source of great info this week, and with Charley as well
Now you know and I know the origin of the above, but Jane or John Doe who is trying to get a handle on this storm could take that info totally out of context and do who knows what...
I am just disappointed that this type of mis-info and BS is put out there, regardless of format...again, I give props to this forum for being a true source of great info this week, and with Charley as well
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yoda
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TPACane04 wrote:I took time to post this to show that regardless of "where" one gets their tropical forecast fix, this kind of thing is misleading and downright wrong!
Now you know and I know the origin of the above, but Jane or John Doe who is trying to get a handle on this storm could take that info totally out of context and do who knows what...
I am just disappointed that this type of mis-info and BS is put out there, regardless of format...again, I give props to this forum for being a true source of great info this week, and with Charley as well
No, I don't know who that is from...
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golter
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GalvestonDuck
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lbchandler
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