Pressure going back down........possible fluke ERC.

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DoctorHurricane2003

Pressure going back down........possible fluke ERC.

#1 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:12 pm

360
URNT12 KNHC 021818
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/1818Z
B. 23 DEG 51 MIN N
74 DEG 17 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2631 M
D. 65 KT
E. 237 DEG 022 NM
F. 322 DEG 81 KT
G. 236 DEG 017 NM
H. 948 MB
I. 14 C/ 3104 M
J. 15 C/ 3093 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. OPEN S-W
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1 NM
P. AF861 1806A FRANCES OB 20
MAX FL WIND 129 KT NE QUAD 1425Z.
MAX FL TEMP 18C 236/008
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#2 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:13 pm

why would it be a fluke?
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dennis1x1

#3 Postby dennis1x1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:14 pm

949 to 948? just call it level.
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Matthew5

#4 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:15 pm

The inner eyewall is falling apart, while the outer eyewall is starting to take over. With time I expect this storm to have a 30 mile wide eye again. With pressure maybe down as low as 920s??? It is going to go again once this replacement is over.
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DoctorHurricane2003

#5 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:15 pm

fluke = very short-lived or pressure rise under a different set of conditions.
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#6 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:22 pm

More important is the location, this is NW.
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#7 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:22 pm

gotchya, well can we expect pressure to continue to drop here again soon??


And the eyewall won't stay open forever will it??
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dennis1x1

#8 Postby dennis1x1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:52 pm

again with each passing sat pic it appears that the inner core has collapsed...i dont see an outer eyewall.......this appears to be good news if it holds......
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#9 Postby Jersey storm » Thu Sep 02, 2004 3:03 pm

seems to be in self destruct mode to me.
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