The northern jog is happening
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
hurricane_lover
The northern jog is happening
Be prepared Carolinas. Looking at the latest loop... the northern turn is NOW happening.
0 likes
-
dennis1x1
-
LowMug
-
crazycajuncane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1097
- Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
- Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
- Contact:
but both of them happening together is METEROLOGICALLY IMPOSSIBLE! (so is my spelling) so I aint buying it! 
-
wlfpack81
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 417
- Joined: Thu Sep 18, 2003 11:19 am
- Location: Arlington, VA
- Contact:
Man I hate to say this but maybe hurricane_lover is a flamer or something. I mean he knows people are getting on him about posting 5 million threads saying the same thing and I think he's just getting a kick out of it.
This storm really does appear to be a FL event (the farthest N I see it going is possibly S-ern Ga) and I think hurricane_lover may be somewhere along the path and could just be scared. If that's the case then it's VERY understandable that he'd say Carolina storm b/c, while he's not wishing the storm on anyone else, he doesn't want it to effect him and rather it be them than him. This is the only other reason other than being a flamer that I can think of for this guy to constantly post the same messages and clog up the boards with all of his posts. All the models are now coming into agreement including the funky GFS etc. so NC while not 100% in the clear (these tropicals can do what they want and have in the past) it really does look very slim that NC/SC is going to get a direct landfall out of this.
This storm really does appear to be a FL event (the farthest N I see it going is possibly S-ern Ga) and I think hurricane_lover may be somewhere along the path and could just be scared. If that's the case then it's VERY understandable that he'd say Carolina storm b/c, while he's not wishing the storm on anyone else, he doesn't want it to effect him and rather it be them than him. This is the only other reason other than being a flamer that I can think of for this guy to constantly post the same messages and clog up the boards with all of his posts. All the models are now coming into agreement including the funky GFS etc. so NC while not 100% in the clear (these tropicals can do what they want and have in the past) it really does look very slim that NC/SC is going to get a direct landfall out of this.
0 likes
-
Stormcenter
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6685
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Huh?
wlfpack81 wrote:Man I hate to say this but maybe hurricane_lover is a flamer or something. I mean he knows people are getting on him about posting 5 million threads saying the same thing and I think he's just getting a kick out of it.
This storm really does appear to be a FL event (the farthest N I see it going is possibly S-ern Ga) and I think hurricane_lover may be somewhere along the path and could just be scared. If that's the case then it's VERY understandable that he'd say Carolina storm b/c, while he's not wishing the storm on anyone else, he doesn't want it to effect him and rather it be them than him. This is the only other reason other than being a flamer that I can think of for this guy to constantly post the same messages and clog up the boards with all of his posts. All the models are now coming into agreement including the funky GFS etc. so NC while not 100% in the clear (these tropicals can do what they want and have in the past) it really does look very slim that NC/SC is going to get a direct landfall out of this.
Unless Southern Georgia is now located in SE or Central Florida then I
think you are incorrect.
0 likes
-
ilmc172pilot
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 208
- Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:28 pm
-
Stormcenter
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6685
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Be the turn is...
ilmc172pilot wrote:A lot of people will be eating crow if he is right, it has started a nw turn.......you never know with these things
But the NW track is part of the NHC forecast. As a matter fact it has slowed down considerably which I don't think is good news for SE Florida.
0 likes
-
obxhurricane
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 178
- Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 7:08 pm
- Location: Outer Banks of North Carolina
- Contact:
-
wlfpack81
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 417
- Joined: Thu Sep 18, 2003 11:19 am
- Location: Arlington, VA
- Contact:
Well, if it turns out he's right ilmc172pilot I'll eat crow but honestly the later and later in time we go the less likely it seems NC is going to get a direct hit out of this. As I mentioned earlier in this thread I could still see Frances going into se-ern Ga but at this point it really doesn't appear it's going to get much further than that. The sw-ly to ne-ly flow seems to be aligned from Texas up through Virginina and looking at the water vapor loop you can see how the high pressure ridging around Frances is causing the flow to go up from Texas and through VA like it is. So the ridge is definitely at the moment in place and is keeping that sw-ly to ne-ly flow away from Frances which will inhibit a turn towards NC right now.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 86 guests