Local MET Carl Aradandou...

[Ixolib]

...at WWL New Orleans say's LA & MS completely in the clear as Francis will stay well to our east... Is that a reasonable statement on his part?

[PTPatrick]

Absolutely not. In fact if turns west even just a little bit quicker than they say, New Orleans is much more under the gun. They have already had models at some point today taking into the NOLA. So to answer the quesiton, yes that is irresponsible.

[zoeyann]

Well did you hear Bob Breck say that anyone having plans near Pensacola this weekend should not have a problem because the storm probebly would not go there. That is irresponsible in my opinion

[mobilebay]

...at WWL New Orleans say's LA & MS completely in the clear as Francis will stay well to our east... Is that a reasonable statement on his part?

If he said that he should be fired now... that is a city that could have unheard of loss of life and he's telling people everything is ok?

[Ixolib]

...Yep, they quoted him on the 5:30p (CDT) radio news - and those are his words.

[rtd2]

IXOLIB...look my friend and probally neighbor! I have said it over and over again these local METS are mouth pieces...just wait like I and a few others said This storms coming in S.FLA TO GOMEX! ....the models have caught up with the ridge and things as predicted are bieng shifted south and west.... wwl wlox none will give you more than tehy are given by NHC...

[canegrl04]

Well said, rtd2

[Ixolib]

IXOLIB...look my friend and probally neighbor! I have said it over and over again these local METS are mouth pieces...just wait like I and a few others said This storms coming in S.FLA TO GOMEX! ....the models have caught up with the ridge and things as predicted are bieng shifted south and west.... wwl wlox none will give you more than tehy are given by NHC...

Howdy Neighbor
Well, then, they ought to say that whenever they make a statement regarding this storm. But they end the broadcast with someting like "Chief Meteorologist", with the intent of lending absolute credibility to their statement(s).

[Geoff Stormcloud]

A hurricane, like blood and water takes the path of least resistance. It will follow the ridge across florida into the gulf around the Tampa area. There are two upper level disturbances moving across lower texas and LA. This will create a path of easy sailing for Frances to make her final land calling in Ft Walton Beach.

[Ixolib]

A hurricane, like blood and water takes the path of least resistance. It will follow the ridge across florida into the gulf around the Tampa area. There are two upper level disturbances moving across lower texas and LA. This will create a path of easy sailing for Frances to make her final land calling in Ft Walton Beach.

Interesting - must be what he's talking about then?????

[crabbyhermit]

I didn't hear his thing on Pensacola, earlier, but I saw's Bob Breck's forecast between 5:30 and 6 pm, and he gave Destin a yellow light (caution) and everything east of that a red light, meaning don't go there if you've got Labor Day plans on the Gulf beaches.

As to the NOLA local mets, I'm mainly watching Bob. He's the only one who seems to still be holding out the caution that Fran could still pose a threat to the LA/MS coast. He even said that one of his assistant mets said he's waiting for Fran to 'throw us a curve'.

ETA: Bob did say, though, that a southwesterly flow coming in from the Gulf will probably protect LA even if Fran gets into the GOM.

[PTrackerLA]

There is a pretty strong southwesterly flow over LA so unless the ridge forced that back to the west I'm pretty sure we'll be protected. But we shall see two days ago people thought this was a NC storm.

[HoumaLa]

I didn't get a chance to see the news today. I really don't think we will be getting the storm(IMO) Velma

[WeatherNLU]

I used to work with Carl and he knows what he is talking about. I don't agree with the statement, but understand he is very handcuffed as far as what he can and cannot say about hurricanes. Trust me, I've seen it first hand.

[Agua]

I don't think it's coming our way ixoliB. That's based on nothing but a gut feel, but I just don't think it's going to be any bother to us.

[Edited to include the following:] As to your question though, I think it's kind of a bit premature just to tell everyone it's "completely clear".

[Stormcenter]

...at WWL New Orleans say's LA & MS completely in the clear as Francis will stay well to our east... Is that a reasonable statement on his part?

Man talk about putting yourself the spot!

[rtd2]

QUOTE" but I saw's Bob Breck's forecast between 5:30 and 6 pm, and he gave Destin a yellow light (caution) and everything east of that a red light, meaning don't go there if you've got Labor Day plans on the Gulf beaches"






breck NEEDS a ticket for that red yellow green light feature

[zoeyann]

crabbyhermit-it was said yesterday-

[LaBreeze]

HoumaLa, I think we're pretty safe here in LA. Should go well east of us and that would bring some pretty awesome dry weather our way. We could use some rain, however.

[Stormcenter]

If there was NO chance that Frances could make landfall anywhere along the North Central gulf coast then the NHC would NOT bother to list them under the "strike probabilities" . Considering the storm is STILL 300 miles from the Florida coast in the Atlantic and we have probabilities slight as they might be for cities all along the N.GOM is "significant" in my opinion.