Frances Advisories

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rainstorm

#3081 Postby rainstorm » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:56 pm

good point
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hurricane_lover

#3082 Postby hurricane_lover » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:57 pm

I'll update you guys, as I am staying with a few friends and my gf. It's getting pretty windy.
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decgirl66
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#3083 Postby decgirl66 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

Tolls are lifted in Central Fla as well....
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THead
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#3084 Postby THead » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

i'll probably get ripped for posting this link, but he did come under the influence of a Hi, but was alot further out then frances is, but still, notice the track after running into the Hi........

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prelims/1992andfig1.gif

follow this up with the million reasons why it isn't the same thing, but then again, is it EVER really the same situation for any storm?
8-)
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Re: cape may county

#3085 Postby NFLnut » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

jude wrote:I'm in Cape May County, too.
My kids were in the water all day- raving about the surf. Surfers, boarders and kayakers here.
Feeling guilty for the immense relief over the fact that Frances is not hitting here.....

Praying for those in its path.
Jude in South Dennis


Thanks. If it wasn't our second Cat 4 Hurricane in three weeks, it would be less difficult to bear. Folks like me (and my mom who has a tarp for a roof .. you can actually see the sky through the tarp) who have multiple holes in our roof, thinking about up to 2 feet of rain falling in 100+ mph winds has us a little freaked out. I am imagining water above my ankles in the main level of my house. Oh, that and the potential for losing power for another week or longer .. again. This has also cost my business ten days of lost business, and potentially longer this time. I can't afford to lose any more money.
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TheShrimper
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#3086 Postby TheShrimper » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

Please tell me what in the hell you are looking at. I must be missing something, even though my eyesight is 20/20
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#3087 Postby nccoastalgirl » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

Is there a link where anyone can view this composite map in the future? This is a really helpful map. My parents live in Florida, so I thought I'd send them the link, if there is one, so they can monitor the model runs of future storms. They're out of state for Frances, luckily. Thanks!
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movement

#3088 Postby boca » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

still looked nw
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#3089 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

Where are you located hurricane_lover?
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LowMug

#3090 Postby LowMug » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:58 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:I'll update you guys, as I am staying with a few friends and my gf. It's getting pretty windy.


please don't...especially since this is a "Carolina Storm" and you have nothing to worry about in Miami
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Derek Ortt

new frances

#3091 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:00 pm

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl062004forecast.html


time to take a sedative, have a very long day tomorrow
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#3092 Postby Duke95 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:04 pm

You've been on top of this for two days, my man. Very impressive.

Sleep well. Good luck riding it out tomorrow.
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Frances doesn't look so scary to me anymore

#3093 Postby otowntiger » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:04 pm

It looks like she is weakening frame by frame. Also just about stalled. What's going on? I know if she sits in one spot too long there will be the issue of upwelling. I know it's not good for the poor folk in the Bahamas, but that to me looks like good news for Florida. I was contemplating braving the lines and madness to get some plywood, but at the moment I'm not feeling too worried. I know we will get lots of rain and some gusty winds for a while this weekend , if the current track verifies. But I'm not convinced that she will out do Charley as has been suggested by the local officials and mets here in town. She will do the coast plenty damage but it may not catastrophic IMHO because the NHC is forecasting more weakening before landfall.
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#3094 Postby calidoug » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:05 pm

Better look again.

Eye reforming. Cloud tops cooling.
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bwstg

Millions Warned to Flee Fla. Hurricane

#3095 Postby bwstg » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:06 pm

PORT ST. LUCIE, Fla. - Residents and tourists in cars, trucks and campers clogged highways Thursday in the biggest evacuation ever ordered in Florida, fleeing inland as mighty Hurricane Frances threatened the state with its second battering in three weeks.


About 2.5 million residents were told to clear out ahead of what could be the most powerful storm to hit Florida in a decade. Other people in the 300-mile stretch covered by the hurricane warning rushed to fortify their homes with plywood and storm shutters, and buy water, gas and canned food.


Already a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds and the potential to push ashore waves up to 15 feet high, Frances could make itself felt in the state by midmorning Friday.


At 8 p.m. EDT, the hurricane was centered 355 miles southeast of West Palm Beach and was moving northwest at close to 10 mph. Hurricane-force winds extended up to 80 miles from its center.


This could be the first time since 1950 that two major storms have hit Florida so close together. On Aug. 13, Hurricane Charley splintered billions of dollars worth of homes, knocked out power to hundreds of thousands and killed 27 people when it tore across the state.


Charley's example — and Frances' tremendous size, at 1,000 miles across, or about as big as the state of Texas — prodded people like Linda Silvestri, 58, to get out of the way. Silvestri, who lives in Palm Bay on the central Florida coast, headed inland to Gainesville to be near a hospital because she just received a kidney transplant.


"I hope I have a house when I get back," she said.


The hurricane warning covered most of the state's eastern coast, from Florida City, near the state's southern tip, to Flagler Beach, north of Daytona Beach. Forecasters could not say with certainty where Frances would come ashore, just that it would strike late Friday or early Saturday.


About 14.6 million of Florida's 17 million people live in the areas under hurricane watches and warnings.


Residents and tourists streamed inland in bumper-to-bumper traffic. Traffic backed up for miles on sections of Interstate 95, the main north-south highway along the state's east coast, and was also heavy on parts of I-4, which crosses the peninsula to connect Daytona Beach, Orlando and Tampa.


Geoff Connors of Fort Pierce sat in a line of about 50 cars slowly merging onto I-95 in Fort Pierce. He had enough cash and clothes to get through about five days, though he wasn't sure where he would end up.


"I figured it was smarter to get out of here now. It was a snap decision," Connors said.


The storm and the evacuations it forces are certain to spoil Labor Day outings and make a mess of holiday travel across the Southeast.


Erika and Brian Marwood, who moved from Colorado to Orlando two months ago and huddled in their bathroom with glow sticks and candles while Charley rushed overhead, made their way this time to a Holiday Inn in Tifton, Ga.


"We thought we were doing a good thing getting away from the snow, but there are no hurricanes in Colorado," Erika Marwood said.


Gov. Jeb Bush asked his brother President Bush (news - web sites) to declare Florida a federal disaster area and make storm victims eligible for recovery aid.


Federal officials promised they had enough people and supplies in the state to handle two disaster-relief operations at once.





"We were successful with Charley because we were massive, overwhelming and fast. For this event I want us to be massive, overwhelming and fast squared," said Michael Brown, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (news - web sites).

People flocked to airports, hoping to get out before all flights were grounded. Some trudged through long lines at ticket counters only to find their flights had been canceled. Hotels and motels inland filled up, and gas stations ran dry.

Florida rescinded tolls on major roads and said lanes on some highways may be reversed to handle the evacuation traffic. State officials hoped to avoid a repeat of the mess during Hurricane Floyd in 1999, when 1.3 million people were told to evacuate the state's east coast and traffic backed up 30 miles or more.

The Kennedy Space Center (news - web sites) at Cape Canaveral was ordered completely evacuated for the first time because of the dual threats of high wind and storm surge.

Many businesses along the Atlantic coast began closing Wednesday. Stores that were open were stripped of bottled water and canned goods, and long lines formed outside home supply stores as people hoped for a chance to buy scarce plywood or generators. The arrival of a delivery truck was met with raucous applause in Palm Beach County.

Jenny Stimpson, 32, joined hundreds of others at a Wal-Mart in Stuart hunting for last-minute supplies but could find only ice. She said she bought 25 bags because "everywhere you go, you better grab something because it won't be there if you go back later."

Frances is as strong as Charley, and twice its size, said Stephen Baig, a forecaster at the National Hurricane Center (news - web sites) in Miami. Frances is also about twice the size of 1992's Hurricane Andrew, the Category 5 storm that destroyed much of southern Miami-Dade County.

The last time two major storms hit Florida so close together was 54 years ago, when Hurricane Easy hit the Tampa area and Hurricane King struck Miami about six weeks later. Neither storm was as powerful as Charley or Frances.
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#3096 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:06 pm

Still looks pretty damn scary to me ... a little ragged here and there, but still a very major storm - inner structure will be reorganized soon - and look out when she gets over that thick warm layer of water in the middle Bahamas.
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Brent
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#3097 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:08 pm

TS Zack wrote:These aren't the 00Z runs!


All except for the UKMET are.
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#neversummer

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#3098 Postby joseph01 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:09 pm

please don't...especially since this is a "Carolina Storm" and you have nothing to worry about in Miami


Hurricane_lover may be a troll, I'm not sure. But, he has certainly become famous (or infamous) for his -removed- for a Carolina landfall.

OOPS...I swear I read somewhere today that the term "-removed-" was banned from this board. I guess I'll get another one of those serious personal messages now...or worse.
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#3099 Postby kittcat » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:10 pm

There is no upwelling in the warm water of the Bahamas.
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hurricane_lover

#3100 Postby hurricane_lover » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:11 pm

I'm right near the campus in Miami.
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