AGAIN UKMET WESTERN OUTLIER

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mobilebay
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AGAIN UKMET WESTERN OUTLIER

#1 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:24 am

With second landfall near Pensacola.
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#2 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:25 am

Agree... Well, it will be a very interesting 06z model run and 5 AM update from NHC to say the least.
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#3 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:30 am

yoda wrote:Agree... Well, it will be a very interesting 06z model run and 5 AM update from NHC to say the least.

As MWatkins said earlier the NHC will have to shift the track further north along the Florida Coast, even if they think the Models are wrong. There is too strong of an agreement between all the Globals. Only thing the models are debating is on turning it west after landfall or NNW. I think the MOdels will shift back to the left some on the next run.
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#4 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:30 am

yoda wrote:Agree... Well, it will be a very interesting 06z model run and 5 AM update from NHC to say the least.

As MWatkins said earlier the NHC will have to shift the track further north along the Florida Coast, even if they think the Models are wrong. There is too strong of an agreement between all the Globals. Only thing the models are debating is on turning it west after landfall or NNW. I think the MOdels will shift back to the left some on the next run.
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#5 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:31 am

Yeah, but the question is how far north?
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:34 am

yoda wrote:Yeah, but the question is how far north?

Look at all the Global Models... They take it inland at around the same area of Florida... it is almost scary how much they agree. That is where they will adjust it to, then more westerly.
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