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southerngale
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#3221 Postby southerngale » Fri Sep 03, 2004 12:56 am

ROFL!
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LOL.....

#3222 Postby WeatherNole » Fri Sep 03, 2004 12:57 am

No apologies necessary.

That was exciting. :)

--
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Re: LOL.....

#3223 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 03, 2004 12:59 am

WeatherNole wrote:No apologies necessary.

That was exciting. :)

--


Yes it was... I saw it after posting it and I was like... WOAH!!! 230 MPH!! :eek: :eek: :lol: :P
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#3224 Postby ncbird » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:02 am

I am a chicken bird and take off when any come my way.

But in all honesty, I always consider any storm a threat until they make landfall, weather the chance is practically 0 or not. I've seen mother nature do some really unexpected things and believe it is better to be prepaired than caught with your pants down showing the world your naked hiney. I really don't see Francis comming up north this far, but until she is gone, my eyes will be watching her every move.
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#3225 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:04 am

bye by Frances...90 mph at landfall...FL breathe a sigh of relief as Hurricane Lili has just come back from the dead
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#3226 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:10 am

I'm thinking the media should downplay it because I think my prediction is going to be wrong, if that makes any sense??

I think I'm gonna change to say 90mph or less at landfall....Cat 1
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#3227 Postby weatherlover427 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:12 am

There is NO REASON WHATSOEVER to write this storm off yet. Giving out false information is NO GOOD and only serves to give people a false sense of complacency that CANNOT be afforded at this time.
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Ok, is it me, or is Frances Exploding Again...?

#3228 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:04 am

Deep reds around the center now on the goes floater IR...


Plus I heard something about a new vortex message being 948 mb on the tropical roundtable streaming audio discussion...?
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Southwesterly Shear REALLY getting obvious...

#3229 Postby Derecho » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:07 am

Here's the most serious Frances problem right now:

Image

The upper high is SW of Frances creating SW shear.

And if people can tear themselves away from staring at the inner core it's clear there's SW shear undercutting the storm from the SW.
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#3230 Postby dennis1x1 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:07 am

well the deep reds arent around the center....they are the center....no eye anymore....id be really surprised if the pressure has dropped 6mb based on the sat pics...but who knows.

my guess is pressure is still rising and we have a cat2 storm now.
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#3231 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:12 am

yeah, thats what I'm starting to think....I can tell she's getting sheared.


Poor Frances....she was such a beauty...but now she's nothing but an ugly duckling....just like Izzy last year
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#3232 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:12 am

Excellent post Derecho... it may be that the people of FL may not have a big storm as they earlier thought.
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#3233 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:14 am

I agree....looking like a Cat 1 at landfall probably, maybe less if this continues...


She's falling apart, just like Izzy did last year....
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#3234 Postby dennis1x1 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:16 am

at least the media will keep their winds blowing tomorrow

:roll:
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Tertius
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#3235 Postby Tertius » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:16 am

dennis1x1 wrote:well the deep reds arent around the center....they are the center....no eye anymore....id be really surprised if the pressure has dropped 6mb based on the sat pics...but who knows.

my guess is pressure is still rising and we have a cat2 storm now.


I'm not sure those deep reds are actually at the center. Looks to me as if the MIGHT be on the east side of the center of circulation but it is very hard to tell where exactly that is.
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#3236 Postby Phoenix78 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:53 am

I went to bed last night dog-tired at 8pm after a very stressfull day of getting our hospital here in Vero Beach ready for a Cat 5. I couldn't sleep (for obvious reasons?) so I logged on to see in Franny had gotten stronger.

I think I'm still asleep dreaming! What's going on?

Please don't pull my chain - is the weakening for real or is it gonna bomb just before landfall??

Now I REALLY won't be sleeping!!
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#3237 Postby ncbird » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:55 am

Sure looks like Frances will have a real problem trying to get her act back together now.

Thanks for the great info Derecho.
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#3238 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:58 am

hurricane_lover wrote:Of course it's weakening...... it's turning north.

I don't believe it is going 'due' north.

What does "going north" have to do with weakening?
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#3239 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 03, 2004 3:00 am

ColdFront77 wrote:
hurricane_lover wrote:Of course it's weakening...... it's turning north.

I don't believe it is going 'due' north.

What does "going north" have to do with weakening?


Tom, let this thread go... we don't need to start another fight again over the direction of Frances.
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Frances getting an eye?

#3240 Postby NateFLA » Fri Sep 03, 2004 3:02 am

Compare:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg @ 7:15 UTC
(also Here is the http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... 97L.INVEST )
to
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc...

I am seeing an eyewall in the second. Am I right?[/url]
Last edited by NateFLA on Fri Sep 03, 2004 3:09 am, edited 2 times in total.
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