http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/fo ... 4/sep2004/
It seems Bill Grey has made some adjustments since August 6.
Brackets is what was predicted on August 6
Names storms 16 (13)
Named storm days 70 (55)
Hurricanes 8 (7)
Hurricane days 40 (30)
Intense Hurricanes 5 (3)
Intense hurricane days 15 (6)
Net Tropical Cyclone Activity 185% (125%)
BILL GREY REVISES FIGURES TO 16/8/5
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- AussieMark
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Anonymous
As of early September the US has been impacted by two tropical storms (Bonnie and Gaston) and two major hurricanes (Charley and expected major hurricane Frances). Charley will likely be judged to be the second most destructive U.S. hurricane behind Andrew (1992). And, Frances will likely bring more destruction than Charley did and perhaps rival Andrew's massive economic loss.
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- Hyperstorm
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All I can say is WOW. Not because of the numbers, but because he finally admited that the season is going to be more active that he had forecasted. I had suspected it was a bad idea to lower those numbers just because June/July didn't produce named storms. It didn't make sense except for the fact that he likes to do that in the August update.
He definitely had to do it because his other forecast would have been crushed by the end of this month...
He definitely had to do it because his other forecast would have been crushed by the end of this month...
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