18:00 Models Ivan=Continues to get stronger,1000 mbs 45kts

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cycloneye
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18:00 Models Ivan=Continues to get stronger,1000 mbs 45kts

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:54 pm

CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM IVAN (AL092004) ON 20040903 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040903 1800 040904 0600 040904 1800 040905 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 9.0N 33.7W 8.8N 36.8W 8.6N 39.6W 8.7N 42.1W
BAMM 9.0N 33.7W 8.9N 36.8W 9.0N 39.8W 9.3N 42.6W
A98E 9.0N 33.7W 8.1N 37.0W 7.9N 40.3W 7.7N 43.2W
LBAR 9.0N 33.7W 8.6N 37.0W 8.4N 40.5W 8.1N 44.0W
SHIP 45KTS 55KTS 63KTS 71KTS
DSHP 45KTS 55KTS 63KTS 71KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040905 1800 040906 1800 040907 1800 040908 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 9.0N 44.6W 10.2N 49.8W 12.1N 55.1W 14.6N 59.8W
BAMM 9.8N 45.5W 11.2N 51.6W 12.8N 57.6W 15.2N 62.9W
A98E 7.4N 45.8W 7.9N 50.1W 8.8N 54.1W 10.5N 58.6W
LBAR 8.1N 47.6W 7.7N 53.8W 12.1N 59.3W .0N .0W
SHIP 79KTS 91KTS 97KTS 100KTS
DSHP 79KTS 91KTS 97KTS 100KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.0N LONCUR = 33.7W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 9.7N LONM12 = 30.3W DIRM12 = 267DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 9.7N LONM24 = 27.6W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM
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#2 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:11 pm

Definitely. And also is moving further south at 9.0N. Not good news...
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#3 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:14 pm

100 kts(115 mph) in 5 days!!! WATCH OUT ISLANDS!!! :eek:
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:16 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Definitely. And also is moving further south at 9.0N. Not good news...


What about this further south position?Will it crash into South America or it will begin to climb?I see it climbing as it moves more west.
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#5 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Sep 03, 2004 2:23 pm

Oh, sure...climbing will happen. I just think it's so far south that it will make it less likely for it to miss the islands...In fact, it's pretty much a sure bet...
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