http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8wvir.html
Look at the latest vs 3 hrs ago ( since that is about as often as we should be forcasting) Since I am NOT a met everyone just take it easy....Here is what I see happening:
The ridge to the north is giving way enough under Frances influence and flow from the west. As a result the northward component will likely come into play ahead of the model guidance and NHC track. The gradient in the winds is increasing as the trough digs more to the west of Frances.
Likelyhood of entire eyewall crossing onto land is less than 3 hours ago
I predict (NOT FORECAST) the eye continuing NW more or less on track but turning more N then NE much sooner in the track. The key is when this starts...
comments from proMets needed, steering data
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- BensonTCwatcher
- Category 5

- Posts: 1050
- Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:11 pm
- Location: Southport NC
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: kevin and 269 guests
