New CMC further west near Mobile

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mobilebay
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New CMC further west near Mobile

#1 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 11:58 pm

The new CMC is now further west, in fact makes second landfall near Mobile. models beginning to come into areement on a northwest Florida/Southern alabama landfall. So for the GFDL, CMC,GFS,and Euro has shifted that way. I will try to post link shortly I'm at work and have got to go.
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#2 Postby hurricane_lover » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:01 am

I just dont see that happening. Much more north, imo.
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Re: New CMC further west near Mobile

#3 Postby Ixolib » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:03 am

mobilebay wrote:The new CMC is now further west, in fact makes second landfall near Mobile. models beginning to come into areement on a northwest Florida/Southern alabama landfall. So for the GFDL, CMC,GFS,and Euro has shifted that way. I will try to post link shortly I'm at work and have got to go.


Seems the UKMET is the only one sticking to the more easterly trend...

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/
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Re: New CMC further west near Mobile

#4 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:04 am

Ixolib wrote:
mobilebay wrote:The new CMC is now further west, in fact makes second landfall near Mobile. models beginning to come into areement on a northwest Florida/Southern alabama landfall. So for the GFDL, CMC,GFS,and Euro has shifted that way. I will try to post link shortly I'm at work and have got to go.


Seems the UKMET is the only one sticking to the more easterly trend...

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

That was the 12Z UKMEt, the 00Z will be out within the hour...
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#5 Postby FritzPaul » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:06 am

look at this GOM WV:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

If she does get in the GOM, she will have a hard time going west with the strong SW upper level winds.
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#6 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:08 am

heck she's having a hard enough time just getting to florida.... forget about the GOM for the time being..
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#7 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:14 am

FritzPaul wrote:look at this GOM WV:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

If she does get in the GOM, she will have a hard time going west with the strong SW upper level winds.

Conditions that are present now might not be present in 60 to 80 hours as the high to the north Amplifies. The high amplifies because of the Cental CONUS trough.
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#8 Postby Agua » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:21 am

Frank P wrote:heck she's having a hard enough time just getting to florida.... forget about the GOM for the time being..


:P
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