0900 frances forecast... 95kt landfall

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Derek Ortt

0900 frances forecast... 95kt landfall

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:32 am

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl062004forecast.html

the gom portion of the storm is becoming hard to predict
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siobhan222
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#2 Postby siobhan222 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:37 am

Thank you Derek. Now I just have to figure out where: 27.3N 80.6W is exactly. I believe we're at 26.84N 80.13W so it's pretty darn close to us.
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mobilebay
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#3 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:37 am

I Know you have other models that I can't see but, The only models that have it that for east in the gulf is the ETA, and BAMD. the new Eta has Shifted WAY west on the 06Z run. You have to admit there maybe something to this...
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TampaBay
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#4 Postby TampaBay » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:45 am

siobhan222 wrote:Thank you Derek. Now I just have to figure out where: 27.3N 80.6W is exactly. I believe we're at 26.84N 80.13W so it's pretty darn close to us.


Here's a zip code to latitude / longitude calculator. Hope this helps. Good luck.

http://www.csgnetwork.com/zcl.html
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:07 am

I'm avoiding all GFS runs and models that use the GFS initial conditions due tp its poor initialization
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mobilebay
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:16 am

Derek Ortt wrote:I'm avoiding all GFS runs and models that use the GFS initial conditions due tp its poor initialization

What about NOGAPS,06Z ETA, AND CMC to go with GFS. You should have left your forecast alone that you had 24 hours ago... imo :P
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nickd
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#7 Postby nickd » Sat Sep 04, 2004 5:01 am

Why would you discount a model that the NHC has sworn by all along?
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inotherwords
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#8 Postby inotherwords » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:04 am

Here's a zip code to latitude / longitude calculator. Hope this helps. Good luck.


Does anyone know of a site that does exactly the opposite? Where you can plug in lat/long and then get a location (not just a zip code, but a city or area name)? I think someone posted a site like this from the Carribean a while back and I neglected to bookmark it.
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NateFLA
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#9 Postby NateFLA » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:08 am

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#10 Postby Florida_brit » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:10 am

Type in the co-ordinates for latitude and longditude and here is your answer...no zip code needed...comes up with map:

http://terraserver.microsoft.com/geographic.aspx

Been using the above link over the last few days! did my homweork in advance!
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#11 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:29 am

Derek Ortt wrote:I'm avoiding all GFS runs and models that use the GFS initial conditions due tp its poor initialization


good work now please pop avila an email and tell him to do the same if he is writing any more discos.
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Jupiter
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#12 Postby Jupiter » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:32 am

I must have used that mapquest link REALLY wrong.....I came up in INDIA
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Derek Ortt

#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:35 am

i've also been working on a brief paper for publication regarding just how bad the GFS is
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#14 Postby Harbormaster » Sat Sep 04, 2004 7:12 am

use a negative symbol for west
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