worst case scenario

jpigott · #1 Postby **jpigott** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:18 am

what do you guys think, closing eyewall, movement west over gulfstream, explosive development. cat3/4 landfall sun am near wpb. is this possible

#2 Postby **NateFLA** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:19 am

Possible, not exactly plausible.

MBryant · #3 Postby **MBryant** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:20 am

As with most things with Frances...possible Yes, probable No..

I do think strong cat three gusts will be felt somewhere though.

Sanibel · #4 Postby **Sanibel** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:21 am

Reasonable considering Frances' fighting to maintain 105 under unfavorable conditions...

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:23 am

I would bet no way, close to land, and a 70 mile wide eye!!!

#6 Postby **NateFLA** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:25 am

MPH101 wrote:and a 70 mile wide eye!!!

No, recon was wrong. The eye is much smaller and visible on long range now, trying to develop.

mf_dolphin · #7 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:28 am

The eye looks like it's trying to contract a bit but she may run out of time before she can really wrap up. Let's hope that's the case .

spaceisland · #8 Postby **spaceisland** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:32 am

"running out of time" when it is moving sooooo slowly? Time and warm water are about the two major assets this storm appears to have for building.