what direction is she headed

jpigott · #1 Postby **jpigott** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:15 am

last couple of frames on the local radar look like it jogged north. Where's this baby going. any ideas about how bad it could get in the pbg/jupiter

#2 Postby **Frank P** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:27 am

still looks between wnw and just north of due west to me .... 275-280 degrees I would estimate.... steadly moving towards the coast...

one thing to remember, this is going to be a very long event and its going to seem like it will never end.... slow moving systems are really hard on trees due to the soaking of the ground, and the constant and continuous force exerted on the trees over a long period of time... so expect to loose a plethora of em....

rtd2 · #3 Postby **rtd2** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:47 am

looks as though my previous track(w-wnw) and fear is still in play and those poor folks in punta gorda or going to get to nasty weather on her exit into the gomex....see models or bringing her closer to us @ each advisory... but first issue is Fla. man she looks like she grew in dia. overnight!

lilbump3000 · #4 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:53 am

To me she looks like she is moving due west.

Sanibel · #5 Postby **Sanibel** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:03 am

The poorly-reflected eye is tracking WNW while the more radar-prominent wide core-eye is tracking more west because it reflects better at the radar level. The higher core-eye will move more west because it is higher in elevation in the steering winds. However, the surface eye is the resolve of the entire storm mass movement.

The little angry eye is the one to track...

There's no such thing as 105mph "disorganized squall bands"...

frankthetank · #6 Postby **frankthetank** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:21 am

comparing the radar loop, it looks like the center of it is just about on top of the buoy in the bahamas

or pretty close --pressure is 28.44 and the winds are almost nothing

buoy link
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

lookout · #7 Postby **lookout** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:56 am

frankthetank wrote:comparing the radar loop, it looks like the center of it is just about on top of the buoy in the bahamas

buoy link
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

looks like she is moving west northwest to me on latest radar imagery, though it is so slow that could be in error. to be honest, it is possible she has just about completely stalled in the last hour but i think a drift to the northwest is occuring. it sure looks to me though the eye is reorganizing quite fast.

#8 Postby **wlfpack81** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:08 pm

This thing looks impressive compared to yesterday. I wouldn't be surprised if Frances got a 5-10mph last minute boast before coming in land.

what direction is she headed

what direction is she headed

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