Anyone think Frances could bomb?

[rockyman]

To me, the satellite presentation is looking better with each frame...the eye is gradually contracting and has even appeared (though with a broken eyewall structure) on infrared...I just think Frances could really start to intensify over the next few hours...what do ya think?

[Patrick99]

I think she could get up to Cat. 3 strength over the Gulfstream......but she won't spend too much time over the Stream.....it's only a little notch between G Bahama and Jupiter FL.

[dennis1x1]

not a chance....it looks terrible on sat, warm cloudtops......pressure is up to 962.....center of circulation is much too large to expect any significant quick strengthening.

id look for her to maintain her 95mph winds (recon reality for nhc fudging) up to landfall.

[Brent]

Maybe a moderate Category Three(120 mph winds), but she's just too large right now to do a Charley. If she was compact and actually had an eyewall that wasn't insanely large I would say it was possible.

[rockyman]

Looking at IR, the intense convection is continuing to circle around this new smaller eye feature...If it completely wraps, then the "big eye" problem could solve itself, allowing for greater strengthening.

[JQ Public]

It looks like she's doing this extratropical type of thing that many storms do when they ride up the atlantic. The coldest cloudtops keep chasing a dry slot (like a dog chasing its tail), but never completely wraps around. She looks like one of those in my opinion and they don't usually strengthen rapidly. Just a note...i know she isn't extratropical i was just comparing.

[chris_fit]

yes

[dhweather]

As long as she is stationary, she can gain more strength. I would not believe over cat 3 is possible though.

[caneman]

Not real sure what satellite images some are looking at but the red most intense storms are almost 80% wrapped now.

[rtd2]

I'm with Brent 120 max..if she keeps atleast 4= mph fwd speed. OF COURSE I dont have to say which direction!

[Nimbus]

The surface pressure at buoy SPGF1 have dropped from 964 Mb at 2 PM to 963 MB in the last hour despite the eye of the storm with the lowest pressures being further west.