Looking into my CRYSTAL BALL

[rtd2]

Check out the front creeping in from the west! its slowing....they have missed the timing on this(IMHO) I think but how far west frances gets Into THE gomex before they meet is the majic ? on 2nd L/F

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... g&itype=wv

[LCfromFL]

what are you saying rtd? that this will hang out in the GOM? head further west? not sure what you mean?

[Cookiely]

Can Frances be forced back into central florida? Stalled along hillsborough or pasco county?

[rtd2]

What i'm saying is what I've said for dys...(search my post) West into S.FLA out near punta gorda and int GOMEX the models for days have been keeping it into Fla the whole way and dying out...now(since last night) they show it getting in GOMEX ....I still think timing is off and she could get a little further west to 89.0 or 90.0 before turning... That is if she starts increasinf her speed from "stalled" to atleast 5mph

[cape_escape]

What i'm saying is what I've said for dys...(search my post) West into S.FLA out near punta gorda and int GOMEX the models for days have been keeping it into Fla the whole way and dying out...now(since last night) they show it getting in GOMEX ....I still think timing is off and she could get a little further west to 89.0 or 90.0 before turning... That is if she starts increasinf her speed from "stalled" to atleast 5mph

You really think this thing could exit at Punta Gorda??? God,I hope not for their sake!

[rtd2]

they will see some wind and rain for sure! this storm is way larger than charley thus effecting alot more people with atleast -tstorms and gale force winds! charleys core was very small..like 30-40 miles

[mobilebay]

What i'm saying is what I've said for dys...(search my post) West into S.FLA out near punta gorda and int GOMEX the models for days have been keeping it into Fla the whole way and dying out...now(since last night) they show it getting in GOMEX ....I still think timing is off and she could get a little further west to 89.0 or 90.0 before turning... That is if she starts increasinf her speed from "stalled" to atleast 5mph

I've been saing the same thing for days myself. you can pull up my posts. I think it will be a W. Florida panhandle landfall. no homer, but that is the way i feel.

[CFL]

Well apparently a lot of people in Pensacola feel the same way. I went to Walmart today, and the store is already completely sold out of "D" batteries and water is going fast.

[goodlife]

that thing better stay well east of 90W!!!!!

[Stormcenter]

I don't see this storm moving wnw over Florida. I see it taking a due west track at the moment.

[Ixolib]

I don't see this storm moving wnw over Florida. I see it taking a due west track at the moment.

And if that's the case, I believe it has a much better chance of making it
to a tleast 90W. Any ideas on what the degree of recurve would be if it comes into the GOM further south?

[crazycajuncane]

That wouldn't be good news for us, but it would be more of a rain effect if that happened. I thought I was almost positive this thing was going to recurve into Flordia. I'm letting the forecast track get to me.

I'm pretty much sold on it recurving in Flordia.