00:00 UTC models Ivan= 991 mbs, BAMM brings it to my house!

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cycloneye
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00:00 UTC models Ivan= 991 mbs, BAMM brings it to my house!

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:13 pm

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM IVAN (AL092004) ON 20040905 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040905 0000 040905 1200 040906 0000 040906 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 9.3N 41.4W 9.7N 44.0W 10.3N 46.7W 10.9N 49.5W
BAMM 9.3N 41.4W 10.0N 44.2W 10.8N 47.0W 11.7N 50.0W
A98E 9.3N 41.4W 9.6N 44.6W 10.0N 47.7W 10.4N 50.6W
LBAR 9.3N 41.4W 9.6N 44.5W 9.9N 48.0W 10.1N 51.8W
SHIP 60KTS 67KTS 74KTS 79KTS
DSHP 60KTS 67KTS 74KTS 79KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040907 0000 040908 0000 040909 0000 040910 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.4N 52.2W 12.6N 57.4W 14.3N 62.1W 16.7N 66.2W
BAMM 12.5N 52.8W 14.1N 58.4W 15.9N 63.1W 18.4N 66.6W
A98E 10.8N 53.3W 12.0N 57.8W 13.4N 62.0W 15.6N 66.2W
LBAR 10.2N 55.6W 10.4N 62.7W 12.4N 68.2W .0N .0W
SHIP 85KTS 91KTS 96KTS 100KTS
DSHP 85KTS 91KTS 96KTS 59KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.3N LONCUR = 41.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 8.9N LONM12 = 38.2W DIRM12 = 272DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 9.1N LONM24 = 35.0W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 991MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 90NM

Oh boy I hope the BAMM is not right. :eek:
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#2 Postby mf_dolphin » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:14 pm

Time for a trip to Flordia Luis!;-)
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#3 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:15 pm

Remember Luis, >72 hours is WAY OFF. :)
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#4 Postby alicia-w » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:19 pm

It gives you plenty of time to decide where you want to go. Only bad thing is right now there are no airports open in South Florida!
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:20 pm

Marshall going to Florida now? :eek:

Yes it is far out as those models change but seeing that line over my head is not a confort.
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So where are the Frances 00z models

#6 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 8:38 pm

So where are the Frances 00z models? It's REALLY late and I've been refreshing for about an hour...Does anyone have a good link for the "raw data"?
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:16 pm

Cycloneye, Iván will tell you ...

"Open the door, it's Iván"
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Re: So where are the Frances 00z models

#8 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:22 pm

rockyman wrote:So where are the Frances 00z models? It's REALLY late and I've been refreshing for about an hour...Does anyone have a good link for the "raw data"?


Yeah they are... Ivan's have been out for an hour now. :grr:
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#9 Postby NFLnut » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:25 pm

alicia-w wrote:It gives you plenty of time to decide where you want to go. Only bad thing is right now there are no airports open in South Florida!


Or central Florida either. No trips to Didney World for a few days I'm afraid.
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#10 Postby NJCane » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:06 pm

I notice the southern models from yesterday are all pulling the storm up further north and closer to PR so hopefully you get missed to the north there cycloneye.
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