New Frances Vortex (05/0206Z)

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senorpepr
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New Frances Vortex (05/0206Z)

#1 Postby senorpepr » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:24 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 05/0206Z
B. 27 DEG 03 MIN N
79 DEG 40 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2733 M
D. NA KT
E. NA DEG NM
F. 044 DEG 99 KT
G. 315 DEG 032 NM
H. 960 MB
I. 12 C/ 3071 M
J. 15 C/ 3082 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C45
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1.5 NM
P. AF980 3006A FRANCES OB 22
MAX FL WIND 103 KT NE QUAD 0049Z.
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dennis1x1

#2 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:25 pm

still no strengthening....and time is almost up for this one.....good news.
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#3 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:25 pm

Slow increase. Probably will be up to 110 mph before landfall.
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#4 Postby kck70 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:26 pm

Tom Terry reported 115 outer ban sustained wind...
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#5 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:27 pm

Well it seems that time has just about ran out as the western eyewall has just about made landfall.
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Matthew5

#6 Postby Matthew5 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:28 pm

If its a sustained wind at 115 mph then its a cat3! :grr:
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caneman

#7 Postby caneman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:29 pm

Matthew5 wrote:If its a sustained wind at 115 mph then its a cat3! :grr:


Will there be an 11:00 update?
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#8 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:30 pm

Yes the 11 P.M. update will be out shortly.
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dennis1x1

#9 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:30 pm

yes..11pm update on the way.....with pressure level and flight level winds at 103kts i would assume no changes in intensity will be reported.....
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#10 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:31 pm

I think the winds are final at 105 mph.
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#11 Postby kck70 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:32 pm

They( NHC) did the same thing with Charely...gave lower wind then what actually arrived...we had 100 mph in Deltona...west Volusia
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dennis1x1

#12 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:42 pm

they had charley at 140 or 145...cant remember which....before landfall...much higher than 100.
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Anonymous

#13 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:44 pm

Actually they put Charley at 150 mph with 932 (I think) mbs :wink:
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