Frances is picking up speed...

#1 Postby **Frank P** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 9:49 pm

CNN just reported per the NHC that it will take 12 hours for the center of the eye to get inland... I don't agree with this at all right at the moment

you look at the latest radar frames and she looks to be picking up speed... unless they are predicting another stalling event.....

she should have the center of the eye inland within the next 4-6 hours max as exhibited per the Melbourne radar loops....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmlb.shtml

NFLnut · #2 Postby **NFLnut** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:02 pm

I saw that in another thread. I wonder if it is a typo from the NHC. I wonder if they meant "1 - 2 hours." In 12 hours it will be halfway across Florida according to their forecast.

air360 · #3 Postby **air360** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:04 pm

yes they must be meaning 1-2...cuz i was just about to make a post myself saying that it seems she is speeding up just a little...

rainstorm · #4 Postby **rainstorm** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:06 pm

i agree, its picking up speed now

AL Chili Pepper · #5 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:18 pm

Well, somebody beat me to the post again. I was thinking the same thing. She sure looks to be moving faster than 4mph to me. And don't beat up for saying it, but it looks to be heading a tad south of west right now. At least on this loop:

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/je ... /anis.html

tampastorm · #6 Postby **tampastorm** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:20 pm

100% agee South of west. The forecast path will have to shift south and west.

#7 Postby **Frank P** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:24 pm

wonder what the increase speed will do also.... looks closer to 8-10 mph from the last 45 minutes of radar loops..

sure looked like a little wobble to the wsw to me too.....

maybe she still has a few surprises for us....

Sean in New Orleans · #8 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:24 pm

The storm is definitely moving just S of W...I did some tracking here on my computer and the storm is moving just a little S of W...I don't see how the system will be N of Tampa. Could the ridge be that much of an influence on Tampa and this system go a bit further West into the Gulf of Mexico and regain some strength before a second land hit? Could it go as far West as Mobile or Pascagoula?

#9 Postby **MSRobi911** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:28 pm

Hush Sean in New Orleans....no Pascagoula...

#10 Postby **wlfpack81** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:30 pm

Did some rough calculations and it's moved about 17 miles over the last 2 hours. So basically around 7-8.5mph is the forward speed. Have to see if this trend continues.

NFLnut · #11 Postby **NFLnut** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:31 pm

It's definitely moving south and west, and I can't see how it will be moving northwest to the Tampa area. I think maybe the exit point will be Sarasota or slightly southward.

Dan · #12 Postby **Dan** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:35 pm

It may be moving a little faster but it still is quite slow a movement. It's gonna take at least another 3 or more hours to get the entire eye onshore.

rtd2 · #13 Postby **rtd2** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:05 pm

PUNTA GODA....THEN mobile bay

Frances is picking up speed...

Frances is picking up speed...

Who is online