Looks West

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Sanibel
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Looks West

#1 Postby Sanibel » Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:50 am

Could we re-input that track heading again?


I've reanalyzed these wobbles and they are averaging at least 270*


She's defintiely south of NHC now! No doubt...
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Stormcenter
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Re: Looks West

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:53 am

Sanibel wrote:Could we re-input that track heading again?


I've reanalyzed these wobbles and they are averaging at least 270*


She's defintiely south of NHC now! No doubt...


O.k. maybe it's getting late but I'm seeing WSW.

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/je ... /anis.html
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#3 Postby wlfpack81 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:54 am

Yea appears west to me as well. If this continues a bit longer looks like it'll go between Tampa and Port Charlotte. Not what the area needs again.
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#4 Postby rtd2 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:59 am

No doubt sanibel....as I've been saying this aint lookin good for our friends in punta gorda ALL DAY and even in your area! Remember the other day when you told me to "give up the left turn" i'd chanted for days? I almost did but I'm glad I stuck to it! I admit I 'm a little north of my track but aLOT closer to NHC! I knew the west to wnw would come back but I just couldnt pin down when.... now to part 2 I didnt start calling a #2 L/F till yeaturday and I'm sticking with this too MOBILE BAY!(+-60 MILES PLEASE) :D I've enjoyed your forecating and stay safe!
Last edited by rtd2 on Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Looks West

#5 Postby cape_escape » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:03 am

Sanibel wrote:Could we re-input that track heading again?


I've reanalyzed these wobbles and they are averaging at least 270*


She's defintiely south of NHC now! No doubt...


Time to get concerned now Sanibel????? :cry:
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:05 am

rtd2 wrote:No doubt sanibel....as I've been saying this aint lookin good for our friends in punta gorda ALL DAY and even in your area! Remeber the other day when you told me to "give up the left turn" i'd chanted for days? I almost did but I'm glad I stuck to it! I admit I 'm a little north of my track but aLOT closer to NHC! I knew the west to wnw would come back but I just couldnt pin down when.... now to part 2 I didnt start calling a #2 L/F till yeaturday and I'm sticking with this too MOBILE BAY!(+-60 MILES PLEASE) :D I've enjoyed your forecating and stay safe!

The new GFDL, and NOGAPS agress with you. Also, it is interesting to note the the 00z GFS, and ETA was nudged a little west of there 18Z position. Remember the GFS has been to right of track most ot Frances track. It has under estimated the high pressure systems.
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#7 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:09 am

mobilebay wrote:
rtd2 wrote:No doubt sanibel....as I've been saying this aint lookin good for our friends in punta gorda ALL DAY and even in your area! Remeber the other day when you told me to "give up the left turn" i'd chanted for days? I almost did but I'm glad I stuck to it! I admit I 'm a little north of my track but aLOT closer to NHC! I knew the west to wnw would come back but I just couldnt pin down when.... now to part 2 I didnt start calling a #2 L/F till yeaturday and I'm sticking with this too MOBILE BAY!(+-60 MILES PLEASE) :D I've enjoyed your forecating and stay safe!

The new GFDL, and NOGAPS agress with you. Also, it is interesting to note the the 00z GFS, and ETA was nudged a little west of there 18Z position. Remember the GFS has been to right of track most ot Frances track. It has under estimated the high pressure systems.


Can you please post the new model run graphics? Thanks!
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:33 am

I'll see in the morning. Need some sleep...

:?:
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