Frances intensifying now - over land?

#1 Postby **Terry** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:02 pm

Steve Lyons said it looks to be so.

#2 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:04 pm

While it's rare, it is possible - Gaston restrengthened over land as well once it got back to the flat coastal plain. There is still enough of a circulation that it appears pretty likely although I doubt it'll be rapid. The outflow is certainly better than yesterday, so the longer it stays over open water, the better the chances that she'll become a hurricane again.

btsgmdad · #3 Postby **btsgmdad** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:04 pm

I miss John Hope!

WXBUFFJIM · #4 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:04 pm

It's tightened the eye from 60 miles in diameter to 15 miles in diameter. There is also more banding features wrapping around the eye. As it tracks closer to Tampa Bay then offshore near Clearwater, it could rapidly strengthen with the type of structure it has. Then the Florida Panhandle could be in for serious trouble. A category 1 hurricane maybe very conservative at this point as it reaches landfall over the Panhandle, perhaps close to the Fort Walton Beach area.

Jim

southerngale · #5 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:05 pm

I just heard Max Mayfield on Fox News say that it would be downgraded to a tropical storm within the hour, but intensification over the GOM was likely.

Thunder44 · #6 Postby **Thunder44** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:05 pm

Yes, I just saw him. He says the eye looks like it's gotten tighter and smaller and it could get stronger than a Cat 1 hurricane when it get into gulf.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... ktbw.shtml

SunnyThoughts · #7 Postby **SunnyThoughts** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:06 pm

Purdue, IF she keeps this westward movement after crossing the coastline into the gom, what might that mean for areas farther west on the central gulf coast?

Wnghs2007 · #8 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:07 pm

Like the NHC says. IT is supposed to keep the west to west north west movement for another 12-24 hrs and then it will begin the turn.

kevin · #9 Postby **kevin** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:08 pm

It certainly is holding its own on radar representation. We'll just have to see

WXBUFFJIM · #10 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:15 pm

If that radar presentation holds like it is and heads further west, it's not looking pretty for the Florida Panhandle and even into southern Alabama

Wnghs2007 · #11 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:19 pm

I think that it will definatley regain hurricane strength. My final call is 85 MPH. But that might be way to conservative. We will just have to see.

#12 Postby **melhow** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:21 pm

so what does this mean for Pinellas currently? Should we (LArgo) expect more than what is happening?

Frances intensifying now - over land?

Frances intensifying now - over land?

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