If Frances is to move NW, then why....

[Anonymous]

...is her outflow to the west, expanding in that direction even more?

It has been my experience, with past storms, you could always tell the immediate/impending direction, by the direction of the outflow. As of right now, it still appears Frances' direction is to the west/wnw, not NW, as in what the NHC is projecting.

Just curious.

[Opal storm]

Same thing i'm seeing.We might have a little shift in the track tonight,we'll see though.

[hurricane_lover]

Francis may still get in the GOM, restrengthen to a Cat 3 or 4 and hit Louisiana.

[PTrackerLA]

I've noticed the same thing too although on radar it looks like it might have jogged to the north.

[wxman57]

You're just watching short-term wobbles caused by periodic strengthening in the ridge to the north. Just in the last 30 minutes, it stalled then started moving NW-NNW.

[lilbump3000]

Frances been jogging to the north for the past few days now but we will see whats going on with her. Later tonight will tell the whole story if she is going to go inland were they say she is.

[PTrackerLA]

Francis may still get in the GOM, restrengthen to a Cat 3 or 4 and hit Louisiana.

Whoa I don't know about all that lol. But, it doesn't make me feel good to see it heading in our general direction right now.

[Anonymous]

Francis may still get in the GOM, restrengthen to a Cat 3 or 4 and hit Louisiana.

You need to get a grip. Many people on this board know how foolish you are. Don't make it a habit! I was asking a serious question, and not looking for some simple repy.

But on a side note. I predicted Friday, that Frances would make a 2nd land fall around Panama City. I am sticking with it, even though some foolish people would still predict a Carolina hit. Know what I mean?

[Frank P]

From what I can tell on radar loops Frances was moving most of the afternoon around 275 to 280 degrees.... averaging out the wobbles... however, during the past hour or so she stalled and looks like she has begun a slow NW drift.... its certainly not on that 10 mph track she was on most of the afternoon... if the wnw were to resume then I think that the track might shift.. I just don't see that happening....

I think the NHC has a lot of confidence in there forecast track ...

[southerngale]

If the ridge to the north is still strengthening, how is she going to move north into it? Will the trough coming down just be stronger than the ridge so that the ridge is pretty much irrelevant regarding Frances?
Could someone please explain and elaborate a little for this weather nut who wants to learn?

[crabbyhermit]

Francis may still get in the GOM, restrengthen to a Cat 3 or 4 and hit Louisiana.

And then carry on into the Carolinas of course.

[FritzPaul]

Francis may still get in the GOM, restrengthen to a Cat 3 or 4 and hit Louisiana.