Poll for ivan---early thoughts
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southerngale
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obxhurricane
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Too early to speculate for the SE US coast. But I will say this...I foresee a "crazy Ivan" in the future.
Seriously though...my initial impression is this: If Ivan moves quick enough there will be a weakness just offshore the EC in the wake of Frances. This could allow for a brush of Florida and a direct hit of the Bahamas or even east of that scenario and a miss for the rest of the ERN seaboard. If he's not fast enough then look for a slow movement through the Bahamas/Straights and yes or South Florida. But again...this is way too early....just some initial thoughts.
Seriously though...my initial impression is this: If Ivan moves quick enough there will be a weakness just offshore the EC in the wake of Frances. This could allow for a brush of Florida and a direct hit of the Bahamas or even east of that scenario and a miss for the rest of the ERN seaboard. If he's not fast enough then look for a slow movement through the Bahamas/Straights and yes or South Florida. But again...this is way too early....just some initial thoughts.
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simplykristi
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SootyTern
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Hi folks; first post here-seeing if it works. Longtime lurker on CFHC but been over here all week reading since they've been down and I am warming up to the community here as I get familliar with other posters.
My guess at this point is that Ivan will head south of FL (but the media here will hype him to the extreme) into Central America or the GOM. Unfortunately it seems like a given that he will wreak havoc on countries where generally there is less $$$ property loss but much greater loss of life than in the US. It just seems like storms that far south (especially early in the fall when fronts are not as strong) stay down there. Of course we'll start to sweat if the NHC track continues to head right towards deep south FLA; they've been pretty spot on with tracks this year, it seems.
My guess at this point is that Ivan will head south of FL (but the media here will hype him to the extreme) into Central America or the GOM. Unfortunately it seems like a given that he will wreak havoc on countries where generally there is less $$$ property loss but much greater loss of life than in the US. It just seems like storms that far south (especially early in the fall when fronts are not as strong) stay down there. Of course we'll start to sweat if the NHC track continues to head right towards deep south FLA; they've been pretty spot on with tracks this year, it seems.
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