New Ivan Forecast... 135KT for the islands

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#21 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Guess he forgot Hispanola has people too.
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MBryant
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#22 Postby MBryant » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Avila does tend to underestimate things. Reminds me of a Corporate man...always saying what the boss wants to hear.
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#23 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:57 pm

Everybody is talking about Florida. But I'm more concerned about Hispanola. They can't even handle tropical storms.
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#24 Postby MGC » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:58 pm

"A weak five" good oxymoron Derek.....MGC
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#25 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:00 pm

I don't know where people are getting info that Ivan will hit Hispanola.I certainly haven't heard that.Steve Lyons,nor the NHC has said it will hit Hispanola.In fact,Lyons said something about Ivan going just S. of PR
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Derek Ortt

#26 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:37 pm

the forecast track from nhc has it right over Hispaniola

a storm moving just south of PR moves right over Hispaniola if its moving west or wnw
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NorthGaWeather

#27 Postby NorthGaWeather » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:42 pm

Some people forget that the Mts are mostly over the central part of hispanola and if Ivan clips it either to the East or West then the direct impact would be small to Ivan.
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#28 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:44 pm

canegrl04 wrote:I don't know where people are getting info that Ivan will hit Hispanola.I certainly haven't heard that.Steve Lyons,nor the NHC has said it will hit Hispanola.In fact,Lyons said something about Ivan going just S. of PR


S. of PR = Hispaniola in a matter of hours. Not to mention NHC does have it hitting Hispaniola.
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Before USA...

#29 Postby Fego » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:50 pm

For those who are concern about us down here (Hispaniola & Puerto Rico), THANKS!... still we don't know where Ivan El Terrible will hit us. Remember guys, before guessing where in the USA Ivan will hit, there are people living in other countries that are FIRST exposed to the hurricane. So, we are so much interested in your expertise".
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#30 Postby schmita » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:06 pm

Yes, I agree. My husband and I are always wondering where "landfall" is. Obviously not on the islands. It's always, it will make "landfall" later and it's already ripping the Bahamas or something.

On another note, I don't wish anyone any harm but I hope this thing passes south of us. I would hate our first storm to be a Cat 5. Then we would get complacent......Not ! :roll: :eek:
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Derek Ortt

#31 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:56 pm

this almost certainly will pass south of st maarteen
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#32 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:59 pm

Looks at map...<pucker>
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#33 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:21 pm

I'm with you on this forecast Derek, great job. Ivan gives me great concern for not only the Carib. but for it's potential on the GOM or FL.
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#34 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:25 pm

Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.
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#35 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:27 pm

BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........
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#36 Postby Cookiely » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:31 pm

HURRICANE WATCH FOR BARBADOS
Meanwhile, in the tropical central Atlantic, Hurricane Ivan is intensifying explosively. With sustained winds of 125 mph it already is a major hurricane (the fourth of the season) and is also the strongest hurricane on record for such a low latitude (10 degrees north) in the Atlantic Basin. Ivan is forecast to assault the Lesser Antilles as early as Tuesday, and a hurricane watch has been issued for the island of Barbados. Additional hurricane watches for the Windward Islands are likely over the next 12 hours.
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#37 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:33 pm

I'm with you...I don't want to see it happen either.
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#38 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:33 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:
BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........


Why so? Is one not allowed to point out that major hurricanes do indeed kill many people?
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#39 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 6:47 pm

bahamaswx wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:
BigO wrote:Dereks path would pretty much wipe Jamaica clean.

Going to be many dead before this is done, I think.



Please take that back..........


Why so? Is one not allowed to point out that major hurricanes do indeed kill many people?


Its a free open forum, but lets not press the issue is all i saying..... :roll:
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dennis1x1

#40 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:00 pm

models starting show very real possibly of recurvature and no us landfall.....next couple days should see if that scenario continues to play out.
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