Jeremy, Mary -- you guys ready for rain?

therock1811 · #21 Postby **therock1811** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 2:41 pm

No it won't breeze! The longer Frances stalls, it will allow for the storm to get stronger...not good for us here in the OH and TN valleys!

breeze · #22 Postby **breeze** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 2:53 pm

Not at all, I see, Jeremy! This is one system
that doesn't look to track up the eastern coast,
as most of them seem to do!

therock1811 · #23 Postby **therock1811** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:08 pm

Yeah...if we do get hit right now it looks like it will only be a TD...the latest track forecast has a central point at 8AM Thursday right around Indianapolis or Bloomington, IN.

Gord_on_snow · #24 Postby **Gord_on_snow** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:17 pm

Wow, this is ging to be my first week of not only living in Ohio this week, but in the US...I'm trying to learn USA weather patterns (to be honest, never got the hang of UK ones!), and I'm coming in right on top of a difficult situation! If it does goes further west towards IN or west OH, I wont be in the thick of it in Columbus anyhow.

What a great discusion to get me started in the US though! (even though its now turned sunny and hot here in the UK for the first time this summer, and i have to leave it!)

breeze · #25 Postby **breeze** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 5:49 pm

Hey there, Gord on Snow! Welcome to the U.S.,
where the weather is as diverse as the people!

Guest · #26 Postby **Guest** » Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:15 pm

I myself think this is gonna be a big problem for alot of inland areas from AL/E.MS/TN/KY/IN/OH and MI. Even perhaps extreme eastern areas of IL. Once Francis decides to get inland and moving we face a new problem with a front thats expected to arrive within the same time frame as Francis but the front could be stalling and with the ridge (Possibly) building back in to the east that could (Block) leave Francis sticking around for a bit longer then we would like. Problem is where? My thinking is somewhere in the OH Valley or possibly southern Lakes. Which would mean probable flooding rains for IN, OH, KY and MI.
This is something all of us need to watch living in these areas after Francis Second landfall.
Oh btw it is possible that Francis could track a bit further east bringing the heave rains to OH/Eastern KY/TN and Western PA.

Still alot of IF's with this system. Check back in.

#27 Postby **TazzyD** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:29 am

KingOfWeather wrote:
Oh btw it is possible that Francis could track a bit further east bringing the heave rains to OH/Eastern KY/TN and Western PA.

Still alot of IF's with this system. Check back in.

That would be my preference. It will be interesting to see how this pans out.

GalvestonDuck · #28 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:47 am

Actually, that would be a better scenario, wouldn't it? As much as I cringe thinking about eastern KY and the "coal miner's daughters" and hillbillies there, wouldn't it (and western PA) fare better because of the Appalachian mountains? Few if any live in the valleys; most reside up on the hilltops and hillsides where flooding wouldn't be as much of an issue. On the other hand, mudslides might, but I'd never heard of them there before.

The Land Between The Lakes in western KY and areas of central and southcentral KY along the KY river would have it worse. I know they've flooded terribly before. I'm guessing northern KY (Jeremy) and OH (Mary) would have a harder time with all the rain also than the mountainous regions.

#29 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:51 am

Yes, Eastern KY is VERY prone to flooding because of the mountains. Landslides also occur there all the time. The track seems to keep being shifted further east so the worst of it may be right along the spine of the Apps from the western Carolinas and TN up to central PA and NY.

GalvestonDuck · #30 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:35 am

Like I said, yeah, it WOULD flood in the valleys. But fewer people live down there -- most are on higher ground. And people don't live as close together. People would be affected, but not as many. Therefore it wouldn't be AS damaging.

therock1811 · #31 Postby **therock1811** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 12:34 pm

It'd all depend on how much rain falls here in Northern KY and SW Ohio...as it would anywhere else...but we have been rainy recently...right now the official forecast track is further east with a central point around Wheeling, WV at 8AM Thursday.

Miss Mary · #32 Postby **Miss Mary** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 4:17 pm

Latest track now takes it slightly east of Cincinnati. So Jeremy you may just be in the clear and I might as well. We'll just have to wait this one out. Flooding isn't a concern in my area but back in 1997, when we had our last widespread Ohio River and tributary flooding, there were only a few ways into my township. Ramps to and from interstates along the Ohio River, down by Coney Island, were closed because of high water. Many, many communities in the Greater Cincinnati area were affected by that flooding event, routes to and from work added 15 minutes easily onto commutes. We felt like an island out here, sitting high on the hill. Let's just hope nothing like that ever happens again. And sadly several communites can flood when we have severe flooding like that, such as Falmouth, KY.

Mary

dawgpound · #33 Postby **dawgpound** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:34 pm

Cleveland, Ohio news tonight said 2-7 inches of rain east of Interstate 71!!!

breeze · #34 Postby **breeze** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:15 pm

Looks like the most rain will be east of me
in the mountains of east TN, as well. I went
ahead and watered my flowers, this evening,
as, I did not have faith in Frances bringing rain!

therock1811 · #35 Postby **therock1811** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 7:58 am

Well...here it goes! It may not look like it on radar but BELIEVE me it has been POURING! Since midnight I'd say they've had up to an inch here in Highland Heights, KY(which is 7 miles outside of downtown Cincinnati) and we're not even in the worst of it! Looks like it will continue most of the day *heavy sigh*, but at least the weekend looks okay...

therock1811 · #36 Postby **therock1811** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 8:09 am

This is disturbing...already 2.5-3" in eastern Clermont and western Brown counties! This is all from last night and this morning which tells you what folks in NE KY and C Ohio should expect! BTW speaking of those areas notice that they have had 3-5" already!

Miss Mary · #37 Postby **Miss Mary** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 8:26 am

Yeah and any rainfall east of here will just eventually find its way into the Ohio River. So flooding is still a concern to watch out for.

Mary

therock1811 · #38 Postby **therock1811** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 8:39 am

Yep and that is my concern right now is what happens there to the east because it's just going to flow downstream straight toward Cincinnati.

therock1811 · #39 Postby **therock1811** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 9:04 am

Some of the Hydrological data from yesterday...
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/iln/afos/CLEHYDILN

KY...
MAYSVILLE 0.52
NAPOLEON 0.14

OH...
BELLEFONTAINE 0.30
BUCKEYE LAKE 2.08
CIRCLEVILLE 1.28
COLMBS WCMH TV 0.80
ENTERPRISE 4.35<-----------------Highest total in the three-state region
FORT RECOVERY 0.12
HUNTSVILLE 0.12
JEFFERSONVILLE 0.78
KINGS MILLS 0.08
MARYSVILLE 0.38
NEWARK 2.05
RIPLEY 0.51
SEDELIA 0.71
UTICA 1.32
WASHNGTN CT HS 0.96
WILMINGTON 0.38

Jeremy, Mary -- you guys ready for rain?

Heavy rainfall already 7 miles south of Cincinnati...

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