Ivan Has An Issue

Sean in New Orleans · #1 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:22 pm

Carl Arredondo reported that one thing that is temporarily inhibiting Ivan from strengthening is that the system still has some Saharan air in it from Africa and that this dry air will eventually leave the system, but, that presently the system does still have some dry air in it from Africa. Also pointed out that this system bears very close watching for those along the Gulf of Mexico as it looks like this will be a Gulf system. At this point, once it enters the Gulf, it's "anybody's guess," as to where it will go....

#2 Postby **abajan** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:28 pm

Ah yess... Good old SAL! :lol:

I just knew that dry air of some sort was being sucked into Ivan.

LaBreeze · #3 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:29 pm

Same report from met. Rob Perillo in Lafayette. Stated that it could be a player.

ajaxw · #4 Postby **ajaxw** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:30 pm

Before or after the 11 PM EDT (10 PM CDT) advisory?

Sean in New Orleans · #5 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:30 pm

Not surprising, IMO--it came off of the coast of Africa fairly strong and swirling.

Sean in New Orleans · #6 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:32 pm

ajaxw wrote:Before or after the 11 PM EDT (10 PM CDT) advisory?

This is after the 11:00 advisory. The local mets in New Orleans do get the latest from the NHC about 2 minutes each evening before going on air. Actually, this report of Saharan air, according to Arredondo was in the latest report from flights into the system.

LaBreeze · #7 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:39 pm

Lafayette met. Rob Perillo's final thought of his forecast tonight was "quiet for now."

ajaxw · #8 Postby **ajaxw** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:43 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Actually, this report of Saharan air, according to Arredondo was in the latest report from flights into the system.

It is in the supplemental vortex data message, but not in so much words. Did he go through the message itself and showed it by plotting the data (not to the TV audience, but with a computer), or did he just copy NHC's conclusion (which is okay since NHC is official)?

Sean in New Orleans · #9 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:46 pm

I'm sure he spoke, personally, with individuals from the NHC, if not those on the plane itself. Arredondo wouldn't quote that without knowing--he is a top met, who came to New Orleans from TWC. He knows all of these guys as buddies at the NHC. He attends conferences with them all of the time. I know someone who works on his staff.

ajaxw · #10 Postby **ajaxw** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:57 pm

Thanks for the quick reply.

Sean in New Orleans wrote:I'm sure he spoke, personally, with individuals from the NHC, if not those on the plane itself. Arredondo wouldn't quote that without knowing--he is a top met, who came to New Orleans from TWC. He knows all of these guys as buddies at the NHC. He attends conferences with them all of the time. I know someone who works on his staff.

TS Zack · #11 Postby **TS Zack** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:01 pm

Canadian takes Ivan to New Orleans. Night out in the Big Easy. LOL Just one model and to far out no need to worry just yet.

calidoug · #12 Postby **calidoug** » Tue Sep 07, 2004 12:24 am

That was what caused the weakening *last night* through this afternoon.

It doesn't look like any saharan air remains, judging by the the sat loops.

Innotech · #13 Postby **Innotech** » Tue Sep 07, 2004 4:22 am

LaBreeze wrote:Same report from met. Rob Perillo in Lafayette. Stated that it could be a player.

ah yes, good old PErillo.

Anonymous · #14 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Sep 07, 2004 9:40 am

Why is everybody saying Ivan looks bad...

Ivan Has An Issue

Ivan Has An Issue

Who is online