00:00 UTC Tropical Models for Ivan,moving 280 15kt

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cycloneye
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00:00 UTC Tropical Models for Ivan,moving 280 15kt

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:34 pm

Code: Select all

HURRICANE IVAN       (AL092004) ON 20040908  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040908  0000   040908  1200   040909  0000   040909  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    12.0N  62.6W   12.9N  65.5W   13.9N  68.1W   14.9N  70.4W
  BAMM    12.0N  62.6W   12.4N  65.8W   13.0N  68.4W   13.7N  70.6W
  A98E    12.0N  62.6W   12.6N  65.4W   13.4N  68.1W   14.3N  70.6W
  LBAR    12.0N  62.6W   13.0N  65.6W   14.4N  68.8W   15.7N  71.8W
  SHIP       115KTS         116KTS         112KTS         110KTS
  DSHP       115KTS         116KTS         112KTS         110KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040910  0000   040911  0000   040912  0000   040913  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    15.9N  72.2W   17.2N  74.5W   18.5N  75.8W   22.0N  76.5W
  BAMM    14.8N  72.3W   16.7N  74.2W   18.8N  75.4W   22.6N  76.4W
  A98E    14.9N  72.8W   16.4N  76.2W   17.4N  78.6W   19.0N  78.8W
  LBAR    17.0N  74.6W   19.3N  78.3W   20.4N  80.4W   21.9N  81.2W
  SHIP       114KTS         121KTS         128KTS         123KTS
  DSHP       114KTS          64KTS          75KTS          57KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  12.0N LONCUR =  62.6W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
  LATM12 =  11.6N LONM12 =  59.4W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 =  17KT
  LATM24 =  11.2N LONM24 =  56.1W
  WNDCUR =  115KT RMAXWD =   10NM WNDM12 =  100KT
  CENPRS =  950MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =  140NM RD34SE =  125NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW = 140NM
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Re: 00:00 UTC Tropical Models for Ivan,moving 280 15kt

#2 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:36 pm

cycloneye wrote:HURRICANE IVAN (AL092004) ON 20040908 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040908 0000 040908 1200 040909 0000 040909 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.0N 62.6W 12.9N 65.5W 13.9N 68.1W 14.9N 70.4W
BAMM 12.0N 62.6W 12.4N 65.8W 13.0N 68.4W 13.7N 70.6W
A98E 12.0N 62.6W 12.6N 65.4W 13.4N 68.1W 14.3N 70.6W
LBAR 12.0N 62.6W 13.0N 65.6W 14.4N 68.8W 15.7N 71.8W
SHIP 115KTS 116KTS 112KTS 110KTS
DSHP 115KTS 116KTS 112KTS 110KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040910 0000 040911 0000 040912 0000 040913 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.9N 72.2W 17.2N 74.5W 18.5N 75.8W 22.0N 76.5W
BAMM 14.8N 72.3W 16.7N 74.2W 18.8N 75.4W 22.6N 76.4W
A98E 14.9N 72.8W 16.4N 76.2W 17.4N 78.6W 19.0N 78.8W
LBAR 17.0N 74.6W 19.3N 78.3W 20.4N 80.4W 21.9N 81.2W
SHIP 114KTS 121KTS 128KTS 123KTS
DSHP 114KTS 64KTS 75KTS 57KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 12.0N LONCUR = 62.6W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 11.6N LONM12 = 59.4W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 11.2N LONM24 = 56.1W
WNDCUR = 115KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 100KT
CENPRS = 950MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 125NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 140NM
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:37 pm

cycloneye, I edited that with the code feature to line up the plots ...

SF
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#4 Postby dhweather » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:37 pm

Thank you Luis for your hard work on the board!!
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#5 Postby ColinD » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:39 pm

The BAM's are interesting.
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Re: 00:00 UTC Tropical Models for Ivan,moving 280 15kt

#6 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:HURRICANE IVAN (AL092004) ON 20040908 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040908 0000 040908 1200 040909 0000 040909 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.0N 62.6W 12.9N 65.5W 13.9N 68.1W 14.9N 70.4W
BAMM 12.0N 62.6W 12.4N 65.8W 13.0N 68.4W 13.7N 70.6W
A98E 12.0N 62.6W 12.6N 65.4W 13.4N 68.1W 14.3N 70.6W
LBAR 12.0N 62.6W 13.0N 65.6W 14.4N 68.8W 15.7N 71.8W
SHIP 115KTS 116KTS 112KTS 110KTS
DSHP 115KTS 116KTS 112KTS 110KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040910 0000 040911 0000 040912 0000 040913 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.9N 72.2W 17.2N 74.5W 18.5N 75.8W 22.0N 76.5W
BAMM 14.8N 72.3W 16.7N 74.2W 18.8N 75.4W 22.6N 76.4W
A98E 14.9N 72.8W 16.4N 76.2W 17.4N 78.6W 19.0N 78.8W
LBAR 17.0N 74.6W 19.3N 78.3W 20.4N 80.4W 21.9N 81.2W
SHIP 114KTS 121KTS 128KTS 123KTS
DSHP 114KTS 64KTS 75KTS 57KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 12.0N LONCUR = 62.6W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 11.6N LONM12 = 59.4W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 11.2N LONM24 = 56.1W
WNDCUR = 115KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 100KT
CENPRS = 950MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 125NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 140NM


With these BAMM models moving right, the UKMET over florida, the NOGAPS through the keys, and the GFS just east of the Bahamas, you can count on the HHC track moving significantly to the right aiming somewhat towards the Florida peninsula. Regarding the westerly track, don't assume that a powerful hurricane doesn't soon start making nothern progress.
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:41 pm

Stormsfury wrote:cycloneye, I edited that with the code feature to line up the plots ...

SF


Ok thanks SF.
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#8 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 07, 2004 7:52 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Stormsfury wrote:cycloneye, I edited that with the code feature to line up the plots ...

SF


Ok thanks SF.


You're welcome ...
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