Miami NWS AFD

[TampaFl]

AFDMFL

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...WE CANNOT SEEM TO FIND ANY SOURCE OF DRIER AIR SO WITH
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL NEED TO KEEP THE PROBABILITIES AT THE
LIKELY LEVEL AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. SURFACE RIDGE HAS ALREADY
RETURNED TO OUR ZONES. HOWEVER WE ARE BASICALLY ON THE NORTH SIDE
OF THE RIDGE SO WESTERLY FLOW WILL STILL PREDOMINATE. AS A RESULT
LOOK FOR BEST CHANCE OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER THE INTERIOR AND
EASTERN ZONES. THURSDAY SHOULD BE MORE OF A TRANSITION DAY AS THE
RIDGE BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED AND A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH SO SEA
BREEZES SHOULD BE ABLE TO DEVELOP ON BOTH COASTS. FINALLY BRING IN SOME OF THE DRIER AIR TO THE EAST OF US AND PUT US
INTO AN EASTERLY FLOW RAIN PATTERN SO LOWER[color=blue]THE END OF THE
WEEK AND WEEKEND WILL BELONG TO IVAN. THE IMPACT SHOULD BE TO PROBABILITIES. BASED ON
THE PRESENT GUIDANCE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SHOULD BE ONE OF
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE RAIN PATTERN...AND AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND
CLOUDS FROM IVAN. UNTIL THERE IS A BETTER INDICATION OF THE EXTENDED
PORTION OF THE IVAN TRACK OUR END OF PERIOD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO
SHOW SOME SWINGS BACK AND FORTH.
&&[/color]
.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEGUN TO BUILD BACK OVER THE WATERS SO
WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE IMPROVED BOATING CONDITIONS. JUST A SLOW
INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS WE HAVE IVAN BEGIN TO APPROACH.
COULD BE BACK TO SMALL CRAFT BY THE WEEKEND.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 89 78 90 77 / 70 30 60 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 87 79 91 78 / 70 30 60 20
MIAMI 87 79 91 78 / 70 30 60 20
NAPLES 88 76 90 76 / 70 40 60 20
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&