Ivan Advisories

[inotherwords]

I think some people outside of the areas directly affected by local storms may not realize how sensitive and possibly oversensitive people are right now. I really hope you guys will try to be a little more tactful.

In that vein, Stormchaser16, you shouldn't be calling anyone a moron or an idiot regardless of what they've posted. I've reported you to the mods.

[alicia-w]

Hey what happened to the rules about personal attacks? Calling someone a moron is absolutely uncalled for in this situation. Some apologizing is certainly in order.

[Lebowsky]

Even if it is 100 miles offshore when it passes Pinellas, I'm still getting the heck out of dodge.

[jlauderdal]

A slight shift to the left but things can change so rapidly that Im not putting my guard down one bit.

<RICKY>

shift to the left only because he decided to go down the middle of the two camps and also follow his favorite model. there is no less reason to thinkt his is florida storm than before he released the discussion.

[orion]

A good friend of mine just left Grenada where he was attending St. Georges University (med school) to start his residency here in the states. He was contacted by one of his friends still in Grenada and the damage reported was the same... trees down, roofs gone, buildings severely damaged, etc. We need to keep our thoughts with the people there and hope that loss of life was a minimum.

[CaptinCrunch]

the latest Sat loop and last few frames still show Ivan moving due West

[CFL]

[TropicalJen]

please just tell me ivan wont stall in the gulf and repeat elena/frances......

[jlauderdal]

Something tells me this is the beginning of a left trend
in the forecast track? It looks like they keep Ivan on a NNW track toward the Florida (yes again Florida!) panhandle or AL. coastline. I think the area of concern MAY be shifting somewhat to the NE and N.Central GOM away for S.Florida. IMO

read the disco...all he did was go down the middle of the models. dont beleive for a sexond that this track will ever hold up as more data comes in. furthermore he is following the ever reliable gfdl that we know is lousy that far out.

[Stormcenter]

Derek I think the NHC maybe seeing things your way just a
little based on their 11am track. Now they have Ivan in the SE GOM heading NNW.

[BocaGirl]

Boca, We're all having a strange case of deja vue. We're in the same position we were last week-watching the maps, waiting for next advisory and asking the advice of everyone and anyone.

In fact, most of my friends, family and co-workers are suffering from Ivan sickness right now. I see more computers pointing to weather sites than I've ever seen before. People who last week thought that a trough was a place to water pigs are talking now about about its effect - or lack of effect on Ivan. Everyone is an expert. (NOT)

Ask 10 people if Ivan is going to hit South Florida and you'll get 10 different answers. Even from the real experts on this board. We just have to wait it out. Not a comfortable place to be. But it's where we are. Again. Hopefully with a slightly different outcome!

BocaGirl
Barbara

[floodprone]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
930 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS EXTENDED
THE FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES..

IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
BUNCOMBE AND HAYWOOD

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ASHEVILLE...AVERY CREEK...BILTMORE FOREST...BLACK MOUNTAIN...
CANTON...CRUSO...LAKE JUNALUSKA...LEICESTER...MAGGIE VALLEY...
SWANNANOA...WAYNESVILLE...WEAVERVILLE AND WOODFIN

COMMUNICATION CENTERS AND EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTERS REPORTED THAT
NEW FLOODING CONTINUES...MAINLY FROM EARLIER RAINFALL. EVACUATIONS
ARE STILL ONGOING...AND NEW WATER RESCUES HAVE BEEN REQUIRED. SOME
STREAMS ARE STILL RISING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

[canegrl04]

Specific location still undecided,but it seems very clear now this thing is going into the Gulf

[msbee]

ok everyone chill out
we all said our piece
enough said!

[jabber]

Its going to be a watching game for the rest of the week. This has already been a LONG season and we still got a lot more to go. We got power in Boynton Beach last night.....

[golter]

the latest Sat loop and last few frames still show Ivan moving due West

I must be looking at wrong loops, to me it appears obvious turn to WNW.

[Steve H.]

Beyond 72 hours the models are going to vary quite a bit, then they'll start to hone in. Have a feeling this is a central Gulf Coast storm, but I'm being cautiously optimistic since lots can change, particularly with a powerful storm that wants to go poleward, looking for a weakness in the ridge. Still too early!

[CFL]

Yikes! I'm going to start using up everything in the fridge and freezer now, just to be on the safe side. I try never to stock up too much on these types of goods during hurricane season.

[Rainband]

hope we don't get another storm

[alicia-w]

Bravo.