Texas out of the woods?

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Johnny
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Texas out of the woods?

#1 Postby Johnny » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:31 am

I know it's too early to tell but looking over models and the extended forecast, it looks like Ivan will not make it to Texas. Any thoughts?
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#2 Postby Innotech » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:32 am

texas will be behind the steering features, so it isnt likely, but htis season has done many unlikely htings.
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#3 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:33 am

I agree with you that Ivan probably will not make it to Texas (or even Louisiana for that matter). That's just my thoughts on it.
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:38 am

Innotech wrote:texas will be behind the steering features, so it isnt likely, but htis season has done many unlikely htings.


More than likely Texas will be, as you say, behind the steering features, as long as the High to our NW stays strong. However if Ivan helps strengthen the Bermuda high, the ridge to his North, then those to the West of NO may need to be watching Ivan even closer than we already are. If the current apparent WNW trend continues the rest of today I will rest a lot easier in relation to an possible W GOM hit. Not wishing this on anyone because Ivan could be a MONSTER wherever he goes, but I'd put TX chances of receiveing Ivan's fury at this point in the 20% range maximum.
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#5 Postby ~SirCane » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:38 am

New Orleans Eastward from what it looks like to me......
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#6 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Sep 08, 2004 11:43 am

Landfall between New Orleans and Gulf Port, MS
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#7 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:07 pm

Landfall between New Orleans and Gulf Port, MS


Model trends would lead me to believe east of there.
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#8 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:18 pm

Bane wrote:Model trends would lead me to believe east of there.
You may be inferring a landfall even further east...and south perhaps, than this, but I'm still hanging with the area from 85W to the FL/AL border as the eventual destination window.
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#9 Postby corpusbreeze » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:18 pm

The 1200 CMC seems to have an idea that looks possible with the high building west when Frances moves out quickly north blocking Ivans nw movement.
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#10 Postby CourierPR » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:21 pm

Pakistan is now out of the woods.
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#11 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:23 pm

CourierPR wrote:Pakistan is now out of the woods.


Ditto for the Falkland Islands. :lol:
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#12 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:23 pm

Betcha those penguins in Antarctica can breathe a sigh of relief right now! :lol:
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#13 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:23 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:Landfall between New Orleans and Gulf Port, MS


Gee, I love you too! :P :P :P
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#14 Postby hiflyer » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:27 pm

I would think that this would be the defining moment for New Orleans if landfall put the city on the strong side with the tidal surge....talk of damage from Charley and Frances would be relegated to page 3.
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#15 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:27 pm

LaBreeze wrote:I agree with you that Ivan probably will not make it to Texas (or even Louisiana for that matter). That's just my thoughts on it.


Texas yes La. Definite NO.
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#16 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:30 pm

CourierPR wrote:Pakistan is now out of the woods.
Oh sure...go ahead with your REVERSE -removed-!! I'll bet you live in Karachi, don't you!?

Forget it buddy...no matter what you may believe, the Arabian Sea is NOT on Ivan's itinerary!!!!

(sorry...I couldn't help it when I saw your post. :lol: :lol: )
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#17 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:03 pm

Qoute "Landfall between New Orleans and Gulf Port, MS"








Captain... I must admit thats a tight window of landfall.....most people give a larger ( CYA!) Forecast cone! like the offical Guys! I DONT LIKE YOUR CHOICE but I respect your ability to go out on A limb! I'll stick with my ROOMY pick of N.O. to P'cola! :oops:
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#18 Postby Janie34 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:19 pm

My early estimation is going to be from the MS/AL line to Appalachicola. Right now I'm leaning more toward a NW Florida solution.
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#19 Postby FungusMoldlyColdcuts » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:21 pm

why did everyone start making predictions here? there are 20 other threads for that. the post was 'Is texas out of the woods.' be respectful

the answer is, obviously, no. keep an eye on Ivan from texas to maine.
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