Ivan Advisories

Josephine96 · #781 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:02 pm

Some idiot tried to tell me we already had a new TD lol

#782 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:03 pm

Josephine96 wrote:I think the only reason Frances weakened was because of dry air and Nortern Bahamas.. Thank GOD she weakened though..

By the way.. does anyone have initial estimates on Frances damage yet? Some said it could be the costliest cane in history..

I heard it was the costliest Category 2 hurricane, dont recall the actual numbers (something like $4B?)

southerngale · #783 Postby **southerngale** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:03 pm

I'm in the forecast cone! :eek:

hehe j/k...I'm NOT worried in Texas.

chadtm80 · #784 Postby **chadtm80** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:04 pm

How is the accu cone any smaller then the NHC one? To make it any smaller would just be irresponsable

Guest · #785 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:04 pm

ivan looks like 1 450 mph hurricane.... well developed cdo, and a tight eye. Hopefully he has some vodka and gets diroriented before he hits land

Website · #786 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:06 pm

Ivan the TERRIBLE! :eek:

jude · #787 Postby **jude** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:06 pm

thanks for that suspension. The person creeped me out. not to mention every single post was in appropiate and disrespectful.

I appreciate it.

mitchell · #788 Postby **mitchell** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:07 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Some idiot tried to tell me we already had a new TD lol

apparently the NHC is not designating TD's at the moment..at least they missed that system near 25n 45w over the weekend in all of the Frances excitement.

#789 Postby **Stephanie** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:09 pm

ColinD wrote:bad--s. That's a tight looking storm.

1745UTC
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

He's more frightening than Frances or Isabel at their worst. The whole storm is RED - there's no oranges or yellows to be seen. He doesn't seem like he will ever fall apart by himself! :eek:

Guest · #790 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:09 pm

yeah, well frances and ivan have stolen the show...

KeyLargoDave · #791 Postby **KeyLargoDave** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:10 pm

Trying to develop my Plan A and B for Ivan. Need input on some decision points -- this might help others in Florida, maybe not elsewhere.

My assumptions -- storm near Cuba --

--- Weakness in ridge would allow NW or even due N movement, but not recurve NE.

--- Trough can turn storm NE or even E and accelerate it. If it's a few degrees south and west of me, bad news.

--- Ridge/highs strong, storm can only go W or WNW, maybe slow down or stall (which gives trough more time).

Any comments appreciated, TIA.

mitchell · #792 Postby **mitchell** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:10 pm

chadtm80 wrote:How is the accu cone any smaller then the NHC one? To make it any smaller would just be irresponsable

i think they show about the same thing just in different ways. and you're right.

Website · #793 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:11 pm

Jim Kosek is on MSNBC right now. 80% chance it reaches the Gulf... 20% that it goes east of Florida or hits the Florida East Coast.

shaner · #794 Postby **shaner** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:11 pm

140 mile wide hurricane force wind field.

Sweet Jeebus that's nasty.

Poor little Grenada.

soonertwister · #795 Postby **soonertwister** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:11 pm

Another more recent report from someone at StormCarib who had been monitoring communications from the island said that the latest reports were of 24 dead. Unfortunately, considering the current inability to even move around the island and apparent total lack of local phone service, that preliminary number may be far below the actual figure. It sounds like the island has suffered utter devastation.

~SirCane · #796 Postby **~SirCane** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:13 pm

yikess!!!

latemodel25 · #797 Postby **latemodel25** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:14 pm

yeah that was pretty rotten! what a meenie!

HurricaneGirl · #798 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:16 pm

https://webmail.mecojax.com/exchange/MFleischer/Inbox/FW:%20IVAN!!!-2.EML/1_multipart_xF8FF_2_ivan.jpg/C58EA28C-18C0-4a97-9AF2-036E93DDAFB3/ivan.jpg?attach=1

Guest · #799 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:16 pm

big!!!

chris_fit · #800 Postby **chris_fit** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:18 pm

cool graphic but i dont like that data one bit

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