Wxrisk.com going out on a limb ...

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BReb
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Wxrisk.com going out on a limb ...

#1 Postby BReb » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:46 pm

declaring the GFS Bahamas solution to be "ludicrous."

http://www.wxrisk.com/hurricane/hurrica ... m#ANALYSIS: 

I like a forecaster who forecasts with confidence. But he's going to look pretty bad if Ivan does pass over the Bahamas.
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#2 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:47 pm

Hmm.. there's a new 1 lol
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#3 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:48 pm

When DT busts on a storm he always admits it. He is VERY good at long range forecasting.
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#4 Postby NorthGaWeather » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:48 pm

Its got about 0.0000000001 chance of passing over the Bahamas.
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#5 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:49 pm

gotta give DT credit on Frances. He called it all the way.
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#6 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:50 pm

Lindaloo wrote:When DT busts on a storm he always admits it. He is VERY good at long range forecasting.


I believe he was on with Frances.
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#7 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:50 pm

I'll be happy to climb out on that limb with him.
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#8 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:50 pm

Portastorm wrote:gotta give DT credit on Frances. He called it all the way.


HEY PORTASTORM..Does that name have anything to do with portapotty?? LOL....Just curious??
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#9 Postby rainstorm » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:50 pm

thats yesterdays update
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#10 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:50 pm

Lindaloo wrote:When DT busts on a storm he always admits it. He is VERY good at long range forecasting.

I beg to differ ;-) Not saying he dosent admit it.. But its not always.. However they guy is VERY VERY good. When he talks I listen.
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#11 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:51 pm

So will I... it's WAY too far south. This has GOM written all over it.
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#12 Postby Novacane » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:52 pm

DT's done well this year. Did a great job w/Frances...

I've read his discussions and they make a lot of sense.
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#13 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:53 pm

Brent wrote:So will I... it's WAY too far south. This has GOM written all over it.


Who asked you? :P :lol: :lol:
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#14 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:54 pm

I AGREE LINDA he was SPOT ON with Frances and one of the earlier callers in the infamous Lefty group!(proud member!) He was also one of the first to report the "bad" dropsonde data that I posted and got Flammed for... That makes since with a couple of the models acting funny.....story still UNconfirmed but models have been acting nuts on intial runs all year thus screwing up the long range track!
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#15 Postby BReb » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

"thats yesterdays update"

It says Wed. 11:55 am.- it's today's update.
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#16 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

rtd2 wrote:I AGREE LINDA he was SPOT ON with Frances and one of the earlier callers in the infamous Lefty group!(proud member!) He was also one of the first to report the "bad" dropsonde data that I posted and got Flammed for... That makes since with a couple of the models acting funny.....story still UNconfirmed but models have been acting nuts on intial runs all year thus screwing up the long range track!


AWESOME!!! :D
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#17 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:01 pm

Lindaloo wrote:
Brent wrote:So will I... it's WAY too far south. This has GOM written all over it.


Who asked you? :P :lol: :lol:


Hey... the Gulf is only a 4-hour drive from here. :eek:

I just don't know if it'll make a hard right turn into Florida.
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#18 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:01 pm

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:
Portastorm wrote:gotta give DT credit on Frances. He called it all the way.


HEY PORTASTORM..Does that name have anything to do with portapotty?? LOL....Just curious??


Ouch! Actually, its a take on my fantasy baseball team: the Port Aransas Tropical Storm.

Yeah, I've heard the Portapotty line before!

LOL

:lol:
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#19 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:02 pm

While his, shall we say...outspoken...posts may raise the hair of some visitors to his website from time to time, you have to give DT credit for his calls on Frances. He mixed a blend of solid synoptic reasoning and good common sense to cut through the model-hugging spaghetti-path haze and call the path and landfall pretty much on target from a good distance out.

His views on Ivan's future track hold weight and are definitely worth a look. :idea:
Last edited by BayouVenteux on Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:02 pm

oh ok...i didnt mean it in a mean way! :wink: just wondering! Thanks!
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