Ivan Advisories

x-y-no · #841 Postby **x-y-no** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:55 pm

REally dependent on where he goes, but sticking with my Louisiana call, and even if it's more like Florida panhandle, I'd say Tuesday.

#842 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

n.c. wed

#843 Postby **HollynLA** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

Wow, the power of mother nature can be beautiful and scary at the same time. Hopefully, if it does reach cat 5 strength, it will not hold it for long :eek:

tallbunch · #844 Postby **tallbunch** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

I was not talking about ME in general... I live in SC, there is no way of him coming here.

I was talking about the main landfall to the US.

ColinD · #845 Postby **ColinD** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

Josephine96 wrote:He could weaken.. or plow right through those cooler waters..

They are only a little cooler but it's going to be 2 days worth.

Josephine96 · #846 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:57 pm

Maybe Central or South Fla

cajungal · #847 Postby **cajungal** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:57 pm

New Orleans Meterologist-David Bernard says anyone from Louisiana to Florida is fair game for Ivan. There may be a cool front but it may not be strong enough to effect Ivan. So, anywhere from Louisiana to Florida is definitly not out the woods.

Josephine96 · #848 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:58 pm

"Not looking good.. but we need to watch it.."

Website · #849 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:58 pm

Our mets are very alarmed. "Better watch closely" :eek:

Windsong · #850 Postby **Windsong** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:58 pm

The LBAR did pretty good with Frances did it not? Or was that the UKMET? Hummmm....must be the stress... can't remember.

Josephine96 · #851 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:59 pm

ours are alarmed too obviously

#852 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:59 pm

Mine says it will depend on the northern gulf trough and the ridge that is presently in fla.

Windsong · #853 Postby **Windsong** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:00 pm

Our Mets are waiting for "a knock on the back door" but are saying things can change and that the models are NOT in agreement with the 5 day forecast. In the next breath, they say not to take your plywood down.

Josephine96 · #854 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:00 pm

hmm.. ok

wxwatcher2 · #855 Postby **wxwatcher2** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:01 pm

Yes, it looks like a blind man drew that big potential cone.
Not much of a forecast there really.

Yankeegirl · #856 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:01 pm

HA HA HA HA HA !!!!!! That is funny!

nomolos · #857 Postby **nomolos** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:01 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 081928
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 08/1928Z
B. 13 DEG 10 MIN N
67 DEG 16 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2606 M
D. 85 KT
E. 025 DEG 003 NM
F. 143 DEG 128 KT
G. 053 DEG 008 NM
H. 947 MB
I. 9 C/ 3080 M
J. 16 C/ 3053 M
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C12
N. 12345/07
O. .1/1 NM
P. AF977 0809A IVAN OB 13
MAX FL WIND 130 KT NW QUAD 1746Z. MAX FL TEMP 20C 218/009NM
FROM FL CNTR.

Stormsfury · #858 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:02 pm

The LBAR performed well with Frances while it was in the deeper, lower latitudes ...

SF

Website · #859 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:02 pm

Yep... that's new. Pressue down 2 mb from the 2pm estimate and 4 mb from the last vortex. :eek:

Josephine96 · #860 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:02 pm

basically what does that tell us lol

Ivan Advisories

Post what your local meterologists are saying about Ivan

new vortex?? 1928z,947 mbs!!

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