Help me find this model

hibiscushouse · #1 Postby **hibiscushouse** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:56 pm

for Ivan please.
This is the one for Francis:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/FRANCES_graphics.shtml

Does anyone know if they have one for Ivan?
I have such a hard time negotiating the nhc.noaa web site to find these things.

gtalum · #2 Postby **gtalum** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 2:59 pm

It's here:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/IV ... hics.shtml

FWIW, just change the part where your link says "FRANCES" to say "IVAN" instead.

NCbabidoll · #3 Postby **NCbabidoll** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:00 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/IV ... hics.shtml

hibiscushouse · #4 Postby **hibiscushouse** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:07 pm

Thanks

#5 Postby **Cookiely** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:19 pm

I thank you too.

hibiscushouse · #6 Postby **hibiscushouse** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 3:37 pm

Another question.
What are the models called that show the water temps in the Caribbean and GOM?
I'll do a google for it if I know the name, or feel free to have mercy on me and link to it directly. :wink:

I looked around at the links on Storm2k but since I don't know what it's called, I didn't have any luck.

hibiscushouse · #7 Postby **hibiscushouse** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:02 pm

The POES Sea Surface Temperatures

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/SST/PAC/20.jpg

This is the one to pay attention to?

roostercogburn · #8 Postby **roostercogburn** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:21 pm

I tell you what, it looks to me that from 72 hours out the NHC does pretty well with its track prediction. That is a good graphic.

Derecho · #9 Postby **Derecho** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 5:49 pm

One thing I've noticed over the years are people calling lots of things that aren't "models" "models."

The NHC forecast track isn't a "model." It's a human being's guess at a track. A model is a computerized simulation of the atmosphere, which does produce a track for a given storm.

If I sit down and scribble a track where I think Ivan will go on a map, I haven't just created the "Derecho Model."

Any sort of line showing a forecast track on a map, on TV, on the web, may or may NOT be a "model."

And a graphic showing SSTs isn't a model either.

hibiscushouse · #10 Postby **hibiscushouse** » Wed Sep 08, 2004 6:41 pm

Well, a model in my house as of two weeks ago, had something to do with lego's. :roll:

Since then, I'm trying to learn what they mean in language associated with the weather.
Thanks for the education.
So, then, what is it called so I don't make that mistake again?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/IVAN_graphics.shtml

Help me find this model

Help me find this model

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