Ivan Advisories

[Javlin]

Yea Yoda just wanted to laugh and play,Ivan is not playing by rules according to the NHC.

[yoda]

Yea Yoda just wanted to laugh and play,Ivan is not playing by rules according to the NHC.

Hehe, I know.. good measurements though!

[mobilebay]

If you have A link to 00Z UKMET please provide it. I don't think that is available until about 0100.

I had this site in my favorites earlier.. so I don't know if this helps..

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

Yes. That is slow to update though... The Numerical UKMET updates at about 1 AM CDT.

[chicagopizza]

Crazy question, but.... the people we are renting from left no supplies for their house in case of a hurricane (plywood, clips, etc.). Maybe they know something I don't.
Considering that I have very limited finances from moving down here, I don't want to buy supplies if not needed. How likely are the possibilities of it going that track and getting my area in it's way?

If you talk to locals, they say every storm is slim to none knock on wood and I hope they are right. Please don't get mad. I don't want the thing, just don't want to be misinformed. Thanks.

[yoda]

If you have A link to 00Z UKMET please provide it. I don't think that is available until about 0100.

I had this site in my favorites earlier.. so I don't know if this helps..

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

Yes. That is slow to update though... The Numerical UKMET updates at about 1 AM CDT.

Ah, I see... that would mean we won't see the UKMET for another hour then?

[Pebbles]

Just a mess there *big prayers*

[tronbunny]

ya we dont need that hear in FL

Hi Chris,
You do OK?
I happen to agree...my heart is breaking over what has happened there.
I cannot imagine anything like it here.
I happen to currently be in a phase of denial over Ivan.

[mobilebay]

If you have A link to 00Z UKMET please provide it. I don't think that is available until about 0100.

I had this site in my favorites earlier.. so I don't know if this helps..

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

Yes. That is slow to update though... The Numerical UKMET updates at about 1 AM CDT.

Ah, I see... that would mean we won't see the UKMET for another hour then?

Correct.

[yoda]

huh. The 00z CMC moves Ivan into the NC Gulf... then turns it NE and slams it into the Panhandle of FL...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=126hr

[MBismyPlayground]

The new NOGAPS is slightly west and south of the 12Z run. 120H on the 12Z run was near Jacksonville. The new run is near Tampa in 120 H.

OK I am a total newbie at understanding half of this. Mostly I try and use ocmoon sense to figure out what I am looking at. Just checked out that link you had. Please explain something. The 120...is that hours? exactly what does that represent? Because I am looking at this and then I back up some( the one before the 120 and so on) and well, I hope I am not seeing what I think I am seeing.

[Stormcenter]

huh. The 00z CMC moves Ivan into the NC Gulf... then turns it NE and slams it into the Panhandle of FL...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=126hr

Florida just can't catch a break.

[chicagopizza]

As if this stinking hurricane wasn't enough. Extra prayers that peace is restored asap.

[BUD]

I REALLY hope we are NOT HAZELlooking at another OR CAMILLE!!!!!!as BIG as IVAN is!!!!

[T'Bonz]

^

*shivers*

I did keep the model pics from Frances and LBar was the most accurate. That gave me chills earlier in the evening.

I'd love this to miss us all.

P.S. Our Ft. L/Miami weathercasters pretty much say "we should have a good idea Friday night."

*sigh*

[tronbunny]

I know it's late but this is bothersome
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/consensus/fcst/archive/04090900/8.html#track

[MBismyPlayground]

WHO SAID THAT!!!!!?????

One of the guys on Channel 10 and then on TWC not that they used the word poof. But... saying the East coast of Fl to the Carolinas. ect.... we shall see. I tend to doubt anything anyone says as of right now. Still too early, anything can happen. Give it a few more days and watch carefully. Although supposed to be just wonderful this weekend. Just in time for the golfers.

[Javlin]

Chicago listen to those folks they have been there a long time when you see them get supplies you better be in the line behind them.

[Stormcenter]

Based on that track should Ivan be moving NW already?

[MomH]

chicagopizza

Go out tomorrow and see if you can still get renter's insurance. My daughter got hers today. Its not that expensive and saves a lot of money and heartache later.

[chicagopizza]

Good news then for now. No one around here is even in that mindset.

Nice weekend ahead, but if they are getting supplies by Sunday or Monday, I'll be right there with them.