Ivan Advisories

[andrew_the_beast]

doesnt look like its doing that yet! the more WNW the farther West the tracks. Im still saying western coast of FL keep an eye out especially around TAMPA and south! just mu opinion.

[Josephine96]

Good opinion but scary 1 Andrew.. We don't need a 3rd storm.. especially this monster..

[jlauderdal]

I live in Parkland and have not been able to find milk or meat in Publix oin Days. Does anyone know any of these stores that have any food???

It varies by store. Some stores have milk, some not. My Publix had no eggs, but had milk. Yesterday, I was in another Publix close to my house (Atlantic and Pine Island) and they had a full stock of refrigerated items (I got my eggs there.) It might be worth the trip for you, I'm not sure where in Parkland you are.

It all depends if they lost power during Frances. It was patchy. We didn't lost power, but our usual Publix did. The other Publix that I mentioned (to which I usually don't go since it's filled with slow cranky old people), didn't lose power.

Good luck. Batten down for Ivan the Terrible.

I was at the alebertosns last saturday morning at federal and dixie and they had everything. i think the best course of action is to stock up well in advance or wait until the very very end. i dont quite understand why all these people need water...there were very very few boil orders ever issued especially in broward and dade county. i thinkwe can all manage to get along without meat and eggs and milk for a few days and you can always buy powedered if its that big of deal. I suggest people stock up on canned stuff for a week without power. There is plenty of canned meats available and you can even by dehydrated eggs if you need them that bad. gas grill comes in real handy for cooking. its not the ned of the world...a/c is another story though.

[Josephine96]

I agree with the early evac order.. It takes a long time to evacuate the keys.. good call

[Stormcenter]

O.K. here is today's Ivan forward
motion post. Well as of 11:38am CDT
he has been moving wnw until
the last couple of hours which have been
mostly westward. It's just probably
a wobble. I think.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[T'Bonz]

I beg to differ with you. Brevard was the hardest hit county. My reasoning? 124mph wind gust at Port Canaveral.

Uh, it was a Broward county resident referring to another Broward county resident. What was obviously meant that the poster in NE Broward feels that NE Broward was hit the worst of all of Broward county, and that is probably accurate.

Of course that had nothing to do with PBC and north, who took the brunt of it.

So no reason for any out-of-Broward county residents to be offended by the statement, as it was only referring to Broward county. Please reread the exchange and you'll see, it was clear to me.

At any rate, I feel badly for those who suffered more. For us, Frances was just nuisance value. Of course, we may even up with this next storm seemingly headed our way.

[Josephine96]

I think the entire state is "screwed" right now.. especially Central Florida.. this would be our 3rd hurricane in 4 weeks..

[Jimbosc]

They moved it quite a bit West - right over Charlotte Harbor by Day 5.

I know the day 4-5 forecast are not reliable - but I disagreed with how far east the track was moved yesterday.

I am thinking between Pensacola and Tampa, but it might be farther west - just depends on how fast Ivan moves over the next 2 days.



Jim

[psdstu]

My Mother In-law lives in Marianna and we are watching Ivan closely to see if we need to have her get out of town.

If the path does in fact end up taking Ivan into the GOM and heading toward Tallahassee we hope to be able to have her leave before the traffic gets to bad.

[rbaker]

i thought the lbar model and nogaps did well on Frances, GFDL was consistanly right of track until 72 hrs out. Then it shifted back over to the left. The GFDL has always had a pretty good record with major storms, with exception to Frances when it was out 72 hrs from landfall. The euro and canadian were decent, but canadian also shifted when it got closer from east coast.

[Josephine96]

Tampa and further south

[rtd2]

qoute"They moved it quite a bit West - right over Charlotte Harbor by Day 5. "


it was there yesturday...tracks..right - left-right -left.... sounds like the Army's forecasting it

[Josephine96]

Where's the extrapolate when you need it lol

[wxwatcher2]

What surprises me is how little faith people place in the NHC forecast.

Especially since they have been pretty spot on all season.

I'm in Orlando and believe me. That "O" in Orlando has now become
a bulls eye.



We have floods and a lot of storm damage. More than is being reported by the national media.

[canegrl04]

Joe Bastardi commented a few days ago that he thinks Ivan could go into the Gulf untouched by Jamaica and Cuba

[PTrackerLA]

I don't like all those letters south of Louisiana .

[rbaker]

could be just a wobble on such a strong storm, but certainly isn't as wnw as it was earlier, when it was gaining more latitude. This could be a gom storm, or course timing is everything.

[rtd2]

posted earlier.... I dont think it will direct hit on jamaca but pass just s... as far as gomex untouched not likely... will cross near or west of where charley did.... VERY NARROW FLAT piece of land on west end of cuba

[KBBOCA]

Ummm... Andrew, perhaps you want to rephrase that headline?! Sounds like you're telling Ivan to turn so it WILL hit Jamaica!! (LOL)

Maybe better: Ivan could miss Jamaica unless it turns now...

[Josephine96]

LOL..

Maybe Ivan heard him lol