so be easy and let me know whatcha think......lol
It's also very, very, basic.
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My Forecast.... first one ever posted on this board....
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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ilmc172pilot
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MBismyPlayground
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Being a non-forecast specialist, I really can't comment as far as highs, lows, etc. - but the rest of the site - WHAT A READ!!!! Such a *comic* relief - I read the whole site and smiled the whole way through! I have a 20 year old daughter who is in college and it is hysterically similar - as well as a boyfriend that has a 21 year old son.
After being in several hurricanes - this was absolutely the truth!!!
* Coffee and frozen pizzas can be made on a BBQ grill.
* No matter how many times you flick the switch, lights won't work without electricity.
* Kids can survive 4 days or longer without a video game controller in their hand.
* Cats are really irritating without power.
* He who has the biggest generator wins.
* Women can actually survive without doing their hair--you just wish they weren't around you.
* A new method of non-lethal torture - showers without hot water.
* There are a lot more stars in the sky than most people think.
* TV is an addiction and the withdrawal symptoms are painful. One day at a time, brother.
** IMPORTANT** A 7 lb bag of ice will chill 6-12 oz Bud-Lite's to a drinkable temperature in 11 minutes, and still keep
a 14-pound turkey frozen for 8 more hours.
* There are a lot of trees.
* Flood plan drawings on some mortgage documents will probably be wrong.
* Contrary to most Florida natives' beliefs, speed limit on roads without traffic lights does not increase.
* Aluminum siding, while aesthetically pleasing, is definitely not required.
* Just because you're over 21 doesn't mean you can stay out as late as you want.
* Crickets will increase their volume to overcome the sound of 14 generators.
* People will get into a line that has already formed without having any idea what the line is for.
* When required, a Chrysler 300M will float--doesn't steer well, but floats just the same.
* Tele-marketers function no matter what the weather is doing.
* Cell phones work when land lines are down, but only as long as the battery remains charged.
* Laundry hampers were not made to contain such a volume.
* The price of a bag of ice rises 200% after a hurricane.
* Your water front property can quickly become someone else's fishing hole.
* Tree service companies are under appreciated.
* Drywall is a compound word, take away the "dry" part and it's worthless.
* You will walk farther than what you thought.
(Hope you don't mind) - This was great! Another friends son is in Mobile for meteorology - you two would get along great!
After being in several hurricanes - this was absolutely the truth!!!
* Coffee and frozen pizzas can be made on a BBQ grill.
* No matter how many times you flick the switch, lights won't work without electricity.
* Kids can survive 4 days or longer without a video game controller in their hand.
* Cats are really irritating without power.
* He who has the biggest generator wins.
* Women can actually survive without doing their hair--you just wish they weren't around you.
* A new method of non-lethal torture - showers without hot water.
* There are a lot more stars in the sky than most people think.
* TV is an addiction and the withdrawal symptoms are painful. One day at a time, brother.
** IMPORTANT** A 7 lb bag of ice will chill 6-12 oz Bud-Lite's to a drinkable temperature in 11 minutes, and still keep
a 14-pound turkey frozen for 8 more hours.
* There are a lot of trees.
* Flood plan drawings on some mortgage documents will probably be wrong.
* Contrary to most Florida natives' beliefs, speed limit on roads without traffic lights does not increase.
* Aluminum siding, while aesthetically pleasing, is definitely not required.
* Just because you're over 21 doesn't mean you can stay out as late as you want.
* Crickets will increase their volume to overcome the sound of 14 generators.
* People will get into a line that has already formed without having any idea what the line is for.
* When required, a Chrysler 300M will float--doesn't steer well, but floats just the same.
* Tele-marketers function no matter what the weather is doing.
* Cell phones work when land lines are down, but only as long as the battery remains charged.
* Laundry hampers were not made to contain such a volume.
* The price of a bag of ice rises 200% after a hurricane.
* Your water front property can quickly become someone else's fishing hole.
* Tree service companies are under appreciated.
* Drywall is a compound word, take away the "dry" part and it's worthless.
* You will walk farther than what you thought.
(Hope you don't mind) - This was great! Another friends son is in Mobile for meteorology - you two would get along great!
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GalvestonDuck
- Category 5
- Posts: 15941
- Age: 57
- Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
- Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)
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ObsessedMiami
- Category 1
- Posts: 432
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:08 pm
- Location: West Kendall, Fl
Re: My Forecast.... first one ever posted on this board....
chris_fit wrote:so be easy and let me know whatcha think......lol
It's also very, very, basic.
URL Link
I don't know if you are right or not, but for someone who didn't understand troughs and ridges before your post, you made it quite easy to understand. I thank you for that!
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Chris,
I still like your analysis, but that ULL over the atlantic is beginning to come into play.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TWDAT
They mention Frances, but I'm sure they mean Ivan.
I still like your analysis, but that ULL over the atlantic is beginning to come into play.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TWDAT
THE PATTERN IS COMPRISED OF A HIGH AMPLITUDE
MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLC EXTENDING FROM
FLORIDA NEWD OVER BERMUDA. MOST OF THE UPSTREAM MOISTURE IS
RIDING UP AND OVER THE RIDGE LEAVING A LARGE AREA OF SUBSIDENCE
AND DRY AIR N OF 25N W OF 60W. SHIFTING EWD...MID-OCEANIC TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM A FORMING UPPER LOW NEAR 31N50W SWWD TO THE
BAHAMAS. THE TROUGH IS UNDERCUTTING THE AFOREMENTIONED W ATLC
RIDGE AND THIS INTERACTION WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE EVENTUAL TRACK
OF HURRICANE FRANCES. CURRENTLY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT THE UPPER LOW IS BECOMING CUTOFF AND BEGINNING TO DRIFT
WESTWARD. <snip>
THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BE WEAKENED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC
BY THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-OCEANIC TROUGH AND FORMING UPPER LOW.
HOWEVER...A WELL-ESTABLISHED RIDGE AXIS REMAINS OVER THE W ATLC
FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA.
They mention Frances, but I'm sure they mean Ivan.
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lilbump3000
- Category 4
- Posts: 966
- Age: 38
- Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
- Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
- Contact:
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