Ivan Advisories

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bottomsup
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#3041 Postby bottomsup » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:12 am

LOL, Al's probably got as much credibility as most folks on this forum.
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#3042 Postby B-Bear » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:12 am

Hey! I resemble that remark!
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Lindaloo
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#3043 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:16 am

Nice first post bottomsup. :roll: There are ALOT of credible pro and amateur mets on S2K. Have a great day! :D
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#3044 Postby jabber » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:18 am

What a loon
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#3045 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:19 am

Just FWIW... 141 kt at flight level when reduced to the surface is about 125 kt which is where the NHC has it...
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#3046 Postby B-Bear » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:20 am

I'm wondering if Ivan has pulled in some dry air from the mountains of southwest Hispaniola.
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Lindaloo
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#3047 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:21 am

chadtm80 wrote:FWIW.. Castro went on the air last night and asked that all cubans help eachother so that they dont have to except ANY help for the USA.


**bleep bleep**
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#3048 Postby Innotech » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:25 am

dry air entrainment and some shear to his northwest
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bottomsup
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#3049 Postby bottomsup » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:26 am

Didn't take ya long to nail me for that post.
Hey, nothin' personal. Been lurking for a while and I think this is a great site!
I agree there is alot of great info shared, but there are also some threads that deserve a little "tongue in cheek" remark from time to time.
Keep up the good work!
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#3050 Postby therock1811 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:27 am

I'm an OH native, living in KY... can someone tell me what a conch is in this sense please?
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x-y-no
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#3051 Postby x-y-no » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:30 am

Looks to me like one can already see the outline of the new eyewall forming.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... LATEST.jpg
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Canehater
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If Ivan hits right where all the computer models are saying

#3052 Postby Canehater » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:31 am

he will(S of Tampa) how much wind will we feel in Broward County?
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#3053 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:32 am

chadtm80 wrote:FWIW.. Castro went on the air last night and asked that all cubans help eachother so that they dont have to except ANY help for the USA.


Yep... sounds just like Castro. :grr:
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Lindaloo
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#3054 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:33 am

Well I am glad you decided to join. Welcome! Enjoy all of what S2K has to offer and have fun! :D
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#3055 Postby hibiscushouse » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:33 am

A conch is what they refer the Fl. Key natives as.
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#3056 Postby soonertwister » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:33 am

A conch is a long-time keys resident. The tend to be very reluctant to evacuate, since they've seen so many storms, and so many misses.

A conch literally is a type of sea creature that creates a hard shell around it's body. It's sort of like a "sea snail". Conch shells can be very pretty, and sometimes get quite large.
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#3057 Postby BlueNole » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:33 am

Being new, and having no training/education in this area, what constitutes a hurricane "bombing out"??? Sometimes the useage here suggests it occurs when the storm reaches some sort of maximum strength. Other times, the useage suggests it occurs when the storm is dying out. Thanks in advance for your reply. This is a great site.
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#3058 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:33 am

You'll be in the worst part of the storm and this is larger than Charley. Some of the models take it back out over the Atlantic as far south as the Vero Beach area. That would probably give you some hurricane force gusts.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_09.gif
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dhweather
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Subtropical ridge -- dry air into Ivan?

#3059 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:34 am

The oozing of the subtropical ridge continues S/SW towards Jamacia.
As this loop progresses, you can see that dry air continuing to clear out
moisture from the North, down across central/Eastern Cuba. This may also be happening further East, but the outflow from Ivan is too dense to tell. Comments??


http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/prwv.html
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das8929

#3060 Postby das8929 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:35 am

It sure looks raggedy right now. I would think dry air has something to do with it.
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