accuweather and joe bastardi

[weatherwoman]

Joe has changed his mind this morning says Florida then out and up into the Carolinas, stalling over the carolinas he says he don't usually change his mind like this but has good reason to

[Deenac813]

Where in Florida does he say?

[n.c sunshine]

where in Carolinas

[Weatherboy1]

AccuWeather.com meteorologists believe Ivan will pass just west of Key West Monday afternoon, then track very close or make landfall along the west or southwest coast of Florida Monday night. A landfall west of Appalachicola is becoming more and more unlikely, as we look at how the steering pattern is to evolve across the lower 48 states. High pressure to the north should weaken, allowing Ivan to slow; the trough coming into the middle of the U.S. will have a chance to influence the track, and turn it more north and even northeast. Obviously, there is still some uncertainty, but from all the information and data we are looking at now, it seems highly likely that a third hurricane will strike Florida. Anyone with interests in the northern or northwestern Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, especially anyone in Florida, should closely monitor the movement of Ivan. Please check back with AccuWeather.com for updates on this life-threatening hurricane.

I don't think there should be any copywright problem here, since this text is from the free site (Not Bastardi's column). I thought I'd include this explanation since it talks about the reason why they're abandoning their North Gulf coast view and adopting a FL landfall one.

[Portastorm]

west coast .... prolly south of Tampa.

[Johnny]

Punta Gorda again?

[Stephanie]

Punta Gorda again?

They CAN'T take anymore hits!

[tallbunch]

didn't he have frances going to South GA? He has been wrong a lot more then right.

[weatherwoman]

he had the carolinas maped for frances but that is the first time i have even known him to be off he is good with what he does.

[canegrl04]

Joe Bastardi has a track record of being off with his predictions.Just like the GFS

[Novacane]

Tallbunch,

If you're referring to his landfall calls (which is, admittedly, pretty important) he came to the dance pretty late on Frances, but to say generally that he's been wrong more than right is inaccurate. He's called a lot of aspects of every storm this season pretty accurately and he's done so ahead of the pack and well before NHC. He id'd Gaston's development a week before it even formed. He's the only met I've seen who does landfall intensity forecasts and his scores the last several years have been generally pretty good.

I follow him (and a number of other mets) pretty closely, and from my perspective he's one of the best out there and I feel your statement is at best sort of misleading.

Not trying to flame you, but I respectfully disagree with what you've said.

[frankthetank]

Yeah...JB does seem to get hammered by a lot of people...hes only human and can make mistakes...He changed his forecast, but its better than sticking with the wrong forecast...

[CFLCaneWatcher]

From what I've seen on AccuWeather, to this point is, they will make a 'brilliant" Florida landfall call LATE MONDAY NIGHT!

[x-y-no]

Sheesh! If you try to look as far out as he does, you're bound to be off a fair amount.

Amazing how much passion the guy stirs up, LOL.

[Hurricane Cheese]

Bastardi was RIGHT last week when, during Hurricane Frances coverage, he said that IVAN would cause, "great wailing and gnashing of teeth."