The Trough must be much stronger than indicated..

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DESTRUCTION5
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The Trough must be much stronger than indicated..

#1 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:02 pm

You cant have every model agree on a NE turn and not expect it to happen at some point..
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm

True.. Give me a link to those models please.. :)
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#3 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:06 pm

Here ya go -

http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:10 pm

thank you :wink:
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#5 Postby BayouVenteux » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:21 pm

You can clearly see the extent of the amplitude over the Gulf.

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/st ... verlay=off

Also note how it is, as part of the "wake" if you will, left behind by Frances, sandwiched between the two ridges, the western ridge holding tough, and the eastern, Atlantic ridge struggling to maintain its west-southwestward advance at present.

The road north is there for Ivan, the only point of conjecture is where the off-ramp is located.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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#6 Postby quickychick » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:26 pm

BayouVenteux, THANKS for that link, it is so much easier to "see" the reasoning behind theNHC forecasts with that projection than the flat 2D stuff I've been looking at.
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Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:41 pm

The jerk north or northeast or both?
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#8 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:43 pm

The link is broken, it has a red x on the top of where the picture should be.
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Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:44 pm

then that'd mean the link broke
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#10 Postby alicia-w » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:46 pm

I had no problem with the link less than 10 seconds ago.
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#11 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:46 pm

Neither did I.. it works for me...
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